TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2220…9f1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3836.8%14 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.34
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$253.22
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$160.66
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$661.41
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$37.26
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+148.8%+$377.49
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+479.1%+$76.66
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,014.11
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+87.3%+$261.85
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+186.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+186.1%+$93.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$150.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$58.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.