Fed Rates · resolved market
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd72622d154dfe65b9c019d6afcfe75a55717e5c502db611f555b101aafbf6ec5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,025,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,538,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,025,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 662 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,041,466$20,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,482.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 2,945,241$12,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,319.91 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 2,512,332$7,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,138.79 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b6…815bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,009,638$8,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,288.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…e727backed Yes | 0c | 1,999,875$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.87 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 1,728,209$6,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,172.07 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,360,509$7,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,748.52 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 0c | 1,022,649$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.5 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 999,947$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 0c | 906,243$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b5…a045backed Yes | 0c | 900,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…b90abacked Yes | 0c | 611,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433e…86fcbacked Yes | 0c | 535,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 507,527$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe04a…094fbacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Yes | 0c | 428,851$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.52 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…eb90backed Yes | 0c | 425,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 401,984$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.07 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…f79abacked Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…5577backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 0c | 289,999$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…473cbacked Yes | 0c | 266,210$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…204dbacked Yes | 0c | 250,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 1c | 249,564$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…0c4fbacked Yes | 0c | 214,173$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…2dd9backed Yes | 1c | 207,402$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…4c07backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…d531backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1958…310bbacked Yes | 1c | 179,426$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.97 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 176,823$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.71 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -95.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fef…4849backed Yes | 0c | 175,750$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 1c | 156,858$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…b0cbbacked Yes | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…b554backed Yes | 0c | 145,855$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 1c | 136,011$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.74 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…cc13backed Yes | 0c | 124,005$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…c5a6backed Yes | 0c | 121,300$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…ddb7backed Yes | 1c | 101,221$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…8405backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…e457backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1263backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…05aebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5b80backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…cf4dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…352abacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…cef4backed Yes | 0c | 99,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed Yes | 0c | 98,891$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.56 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…f704backed Yes | 0c | 97,200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Yes | 0c | 91,837$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cf…a305backed Yes | 0c | 84,750$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 2c | 84,134$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.13 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0511…a1efbacked Yes | 0c | 83,173$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…b69fbacked Yes | 1c | 82,458$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…8f6bbacked Yes | 0c | 78,620$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…3581backed Yes | 0c | 76,338$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.01 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…0283backed Yes | 0c | 75,290$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…5145backed Yes | 0c | 74,663$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…40a5backed Yes | 2c | 73,923$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…3f2cbacked Yes | 0c | 65,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…5cbabacked Yes | 2c | 63,668$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.76 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 62,626$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…736bbacked Yes | 0c | 61,546$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4af…48bdbacked Yes | 3c | 60,787$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…e2d5backed Yes | 0c | 60,560$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…e7a2backed Yes | 1c | 60,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…69c3backed Yes | 0c | 54,148$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…87f0backed Yes | 2c | 53,985$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…4c9bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…f915backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbf…9afabacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cff…afb1backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54a…10febacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…cc72backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…54b2backed Yes | 36c | 49,984$17,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,908.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…b382backed Yes | 2c | 49,950$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe15…14c0backed Yes | 0c | 49,382$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78dc…b46dbacked Yes | 0c | 46,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…6497backed Yes | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 1c | 44,429$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.81 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f5…a937backed Yes | 0c | 43,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0699…86a1backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…ab0bbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…906ebacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…54c8backed Yes | 0c | 39,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…38e7backed Yes | 0c | 37,465$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb62c…276ebacked Yes | 0c | 37,333$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 2c | 35,667$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.84 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c7…4bc2backed Yes | 1c | 35,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…0c2abacked Yes | 0c | 34,080$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…0b32backed Yes | 0c | 33,900$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…31a0backed Yes | 2c | 33,338$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.78 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked Yes | 0c | 33,333$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e74…6d51backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes | 1c | 32,931$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…5c68backed Yes | 0c | 32,177$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 1c | 30,704$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.16 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc00…2649backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c0…9079backed Yes | 0c | 26,250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…927dbacked Yes | 0c | 25,500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No won
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.