Fed Rates · resolved market
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d14f5dc9fb3250ec888b1ac8d9fe9a0ce06f9d3ea60fdf138e8690622fea84c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,311,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,387,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,311,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x371a…cc13backed Yes | 0c | 4,262,737$9,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,504.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…2ee7backed Yes | 0c | 2,006,388$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 0c | 1,222,356$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.17 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 1,155,274$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.37 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes | 1c | 1,042,175$6,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,482.41 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7f…492bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,040,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed Yes | 0c | 1,000,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 978,087$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.23 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -95.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b6…815bbacked Yes | 1c | 796,892$9,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,189.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Yes | 1c | 789,119$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.42 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…473cbacked Yes | 0c | 673,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Yes | 0c | 599,640$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.51 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 1c | 565,290$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.51 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffe…8eddbacked Yes | 1c | 421,897$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked Yes | 1c | 409,255$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.85 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b5…a045backed Yes | 0c | 400,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 375,651$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.8 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…0e83backed Yes | 0c | 350,836$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433e…86fcbacked Yes | 0c | 341,019$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614a…d202backed Yes | 0c | 330,838$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…11f7backed Yes | 1c | 330,051$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979b…e47cbacked Yes | 1c | 325,074$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…f79abacked Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 2c | 281,427$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,918.76 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cf…a305backed Yes | 1c | 280,947$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…b1e0backed Yes | 0c | 259,313$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…40a5backed Yes | 3c | 259,256$8,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,133.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 2c | 253,278$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,511.73 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 2c | 217,870$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.78 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…204dbacked Yes | 0c | 207,378$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Yes | 0c | 206,900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…363fbacked Yes | 0c | 194,419$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 0c | 183,000$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…b0cbbacked Yes | 0c | 176,410$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe858…5bc6backed Yes | 0c | 173,524$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…eee3backed Yes | 0c | 166,000$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…6a21backed Yes | 1c | 160,821$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…5cccbacked Yes | 0c | 152,100$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fef…4849backed Yes | 1c | 147,753$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…e613backed Yes | 0c | 138,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 134,865$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.78 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Yes | 0c | 131,293$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…3f2cbacked Yes | 0c | 129,975$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…54b2backed Yes | 32c | 126,960$40,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,208.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…0283backed Yes | 0c | 125,545$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…eb90backed Yes | 2c | 120,372$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 0c | 115,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…cee3backed Yes | 0c | 106,772$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…79f4backed Yes | 0c | 106,667$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 6c | 105,772$5,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925.81 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…f5dabacked Yes | 0c | 103,390$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…9f59backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…f447backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…8405backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…6ec0backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cba…9abebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…b16cbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…cf4dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b70…283cbacked Yes | 44c | 99,968$43,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,486.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6d7bbacked Yes | 0c | 98,610$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 1c | 96,500$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes | 0c | 94,765$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…e2d5backed Yes | 0c | 89,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…1ba9backed Yes | 2c | 88,477$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…6f09backed Yes | 0c | 88,333$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 1c | 88,000$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07f…7f58backed Yes | 1c | 82,408$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…5b51backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…976abacked Yes | 1c | 79,257$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…6104backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5b80backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…4c07backed Yes | 1c | 74,102$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Yes | 1c | 72,172$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 1c | 72,159$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.61 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…f39fbacked Yes | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…2dd5backed Yes | 2c | 70,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 1c | 70,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 1c | 68,152$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.55 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…e3febacked Yes | 0c | 64,143$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe849…55b0backed Yes | 0c | 63,430$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 2c | 62,500$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.37 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…9662backed Yes | 0c | 61,764$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…4c9bbacked Yes | 0c | 60,610$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 3c | 60,536$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.18 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85dd…62d4backed Yes | 4c | 58,170$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c0…9079backed Yes | 1c | 57,399$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…06a3backed Yes | 0c | 55,660$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 3c | 55,085$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.64 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 54,300$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…38e7backed Yes | 0c | 53,169$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 52,867$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.38 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…3581backed Yes | 1c | 52,491$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.87 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…cc3fbacked Yes | 1c | 51,650$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…5e9ebacked Yes | 1c | 51,296$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 6c | 50,905$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.96 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc00…2649backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…4a1bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No won
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.