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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$265,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,414 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere42c77,873$32,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,632.067236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Gentle Mates57c68,553$39,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,269.9754851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Natus Vincere43c66,096$28,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,421.1613651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Gentle Mates57c18,000$10,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6804647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Gentle Mates57c14,613$8,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,283.5910455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Natus Vincere43c14,065$6,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,098.1178162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Gentle Mates58c10,462$6,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,394.1615343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Natus Vincere47c8,635$4,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,021.1125444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Gentle Mates57c8,601$4,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.971758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Gentle Mates58c7,019$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.9917353.8%93 W · 80 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates58c6,585$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.3893248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b37…1f70backed Natus Vincere41c6,242$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.1511159.5%66 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere48c5,961$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.9626050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates52c5,035$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.4968458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed Natus Vincere43c4,700$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.9913345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gentle Mates56c3,836$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.2765559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Gentle Mates64c3,734$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.2394361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf8a…433dbacked Gentle Mates58c3,502$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gentle Mates55c3,489$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.653159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Gentle Mates53c3,354$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.8521558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere41c3,308$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.3615850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Gentle Mates57c3,052$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.332462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Gentle Mates56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Gentle Mates57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2901450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Gentle Mates53c2,882$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.732445.4%147 W · 177 L+51.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+39.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Gentle Mates64c2,785$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.6731153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Gentle Mates63c2,696$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.682240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Gentle Mates45c2,266$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.4130147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Gentle Mates58c2,117$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.1610455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Gentle Mates58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Gentle Mates63c1,986$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.829052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Natus Vincere43c1,932$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Gentle Mates57c1,702$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Gentle Mates65c1,693$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.6232047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Natus Vincere32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48014152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Gentle Mates57c1,498$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.2123151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Natus Vincere43c1,370$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.892268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8be…444ebacked Natus Vincere44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed Gentle Mates57c1,038$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.5510551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Gentle Mates59c1,000$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4155635.7%20 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Gentle Mates59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+53.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c0e…270abacked Gentle Mates58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere50c974.94$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.4715553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Gentle Mates58c974.8$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.421952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Gentle Mates55c953.71$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.713642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Natus Vincere42c919.24$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0810863%68 W · 40 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gentle Mates48c902.47$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.9153455.2%295 W · 239 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec6d…9a95backed Gentle Mates42c837.36$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Gentle Mates59c828.9$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.8523447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7491…ada0backed Gentle Mates59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+105.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gentle Mates54c785.63$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.8324250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7db…40f4backed Gentle Mates58c779.78$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Gentle Mates60c776.69$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.2220248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Natus Vincere52c774.91$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.9217537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Gentle Mates41c758.55$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.1378562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Gentle Mates57c756.95$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.4955152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Gentle Mates58c755.47$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.315942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1f…2bd0backed Natus Vincere40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cc…3bf0backed Natus Vincere44c735.76$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7312755.9%71 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere32c727.58$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5670251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde5…32b5backed Natus Vincere42c703.22$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.352138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Gentle Mates57c695.61$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.111172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+83.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Gentle Mates59c692.53$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.943548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Natus Vincere43c668.72$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.553743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Gentle Mates57c665.63$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2217740.1%71 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf400…1c47backed Natus Vincere21c656.12$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Gentle Mates62c623.02$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.75158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Natus Vincere44c618.5$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1425555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Natus Vincere40c605.57$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1623644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1085…e12dbacked Gentle Mates58c599.5$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Gentle Mates58c550$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed Natus Vincere30c540.59$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0719134.6%66 W · 125 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Gentle Mates55c525.22$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8432241.9%135 W · 187 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Gentle Mates59c508.58$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5210844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Gentle Mates59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Gentle Mates57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2155846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Gentle Mates59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2054450%22 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Gentle Mates60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Natus Vincere40c492.83$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6330835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Natus Vincere41c491.95$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.711955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Gentle Mates58c487.4$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7125347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6265…c6c1backed Gentle Mates58c476.64$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.191241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere18c474.57$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Gentle Mates45c469.37$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2762156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere44c468.85$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2933153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Gentle Mates58c467.23$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8329151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1534…5b56backed Natus Vincere37c444.23$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.621747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Gentle Mates57c440.46$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9641537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere18c440.22$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.241,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb12e…8c6cbacked Gentle Mates59c440$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+95.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed Natus Vincere40c425.93$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Natus Vincere40c393.49$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6686747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Gentle Mates49c357.16$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2811258%65 W · 47 L+12.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gentle Mates75c342.52$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6289344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Gentle Mates57c341.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab2…b321backed Natus Vincere37c340.88$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5add…f36fbacked Natus Vincere60c325.33$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.25549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Natus Vincere36c314.29$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.927947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere38c305.6$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.771,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Gentle Mates32c294.12$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015642.3%66 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.