TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere49c4,177$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.5826050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gentle Mates56c3,588$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.8953455.2%295 W · 239 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Gentle Mates51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4701450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Natus Vincere47c2,882$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.1178162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Gentle Mates65c2,716$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.7121558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Gentle Mates56c2,500$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.9932047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere35c2,450$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.9430147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Gentle Mates58c2,065$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.656557.7%326 W · 239 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere39c1,633$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.0889344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Gentle Mates54c1,259$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.0915442.2%65 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Gentle Mates70c1,197$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.367565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere23c847.78$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.571,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere45c749.1$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.0653159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Gentle Mates63c736.42$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9231153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Gentle Mates57c651.58$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6994361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Natus Vincere46c590.45$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.511540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Gentle Mates52c515.34$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5654851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Natus Vincere31c505.39$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5339166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere36c475.35$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.881,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe9…4a83backed Natus Vincere46c454.35$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2093125.8%8 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Natus Vincere43c449.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.164949%24 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Natus Vincere43c444.42$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.18736.8%32 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Gentle Mates61c390.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6978562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere35c377$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9514447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates61c355.09$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.470251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere36c347.66$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5493248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Gentle Mates57c325.28$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.877655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates46c320.82$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1468458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Natus Vincere37c278.68$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1119540.5%79 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Natus Vincere48c278.61$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9926858.6%157 W · 111 L+18.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere38c271.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.551,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Natus Vincere39c267.85$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3616442.1%69 W · 95 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed Natus Vincere36c264.46$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.196648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Natus Vincere48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12036648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Gentle Mates52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Natus Vincere40c242.57$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.292733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Gentle Mates53c223$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.811,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Gentle Mates59c215.73$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.932941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Natus Vincere28c212.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.841835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Natus Vincere46c211.19$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.757145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere50c201.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gentle Mates73c192.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4745033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Natus Vincere39c186.63$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.959346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Natus Vincere41c181.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2916842.3%71 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Gentle Mates60c171.31$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7740731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Natus Vincere47c171.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4321240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere41c170.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.991,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere50c155.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7729151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Gentle Mates57c154.21$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8963652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Gentle Mates73c148.34$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.055240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Natus Vincere46c147.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.734231%13 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Gentle Mates58c144.74$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.074456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Natus Vincere27c141.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.254748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc29…7f9cbacked Gentle Mates72c129.22$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93de…f485backed Natus Vincere47c110.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.991723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Gentle Mates58c109.38$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.762665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Natus Vincere47c106.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.065448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Natus Vincere29c98.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3526730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeafe…c310backed Natus Vincere50c97.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.495228.8%15 W · 37 L-8.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere14c96.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.230828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Gentle Mates60c78.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.087456.8%42 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0358…30e2backed Gentle Mates66c66.09$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.811100%11 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa93…85a7backed Natus Vincere47c62.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Natus Vincere49c58.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.355752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Natus Vincere48c56.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.044065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb794…0aa5backed Natus Vincere47c54.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.942638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6af2…8bd8backed Natus Vincere37c51.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.251030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Natus Vincere42c50.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2351948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6acc…4955backed Gentle Mates75c49.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Gentle Mates57c48.88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8619661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Natus Vincere41c46.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0757517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Gentle Mates53c42.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Natus Vincere40c41.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5915512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Natus Vincere37c39.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Gentle Mates55c35.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.738050%40 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Gentle Mates58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1215455.8%86 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93a…8a46backed Gentle Mates60c32.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Gentle Mates61c30.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Gentle Mates70c21.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5243459.2%257 W · 177 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Gentle Mates58c20.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed Gentle Mates69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211258%65 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Gentle Mates62c19.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4325536.9%94 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.