Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5acaf920a67f9d662684cd0b32fc8ce2b3080772259362d550bd5dc2a40e2cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 2,785$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.14 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,555$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.62 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 2,038$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.35 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,653$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.45 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 1,623$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.16 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,514$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.48 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 1,402$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.32 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,250$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.94 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 1,149$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.17 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 908.51$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.33 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 799.34$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.51 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 791$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.5 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 658.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.37 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 565.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.54 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 519.2$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 518.6$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Gentle Mates | 42c | 462.04$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.52 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 446.07$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.4 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 389.3$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 354$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 342.3$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 327.17$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.11 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 297.78$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 258.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 236.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gentle Mates | 41c | 225.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 201.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 195.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…5b56backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 194.63$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 187.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 184.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.38 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 171.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 169.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 162.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 159.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Gentle Mates | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 146.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 117.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 99.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 98.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 81.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 81.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Gentle Mates | 38c | 76.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 75.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked Gentle Mates | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd5…15a8backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 57.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Gentle Mates | 40c | 56.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8bd8backed Gentle Mates | 34c | 50.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Gentle Mates | 22c | 49.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…30e2backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 45.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…2e54backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 41.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 34.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 32.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 31.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 28.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…47a3backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 24.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 21.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 21.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…182cbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 19.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 16.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…f4f7backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.