TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9dd5…15a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$341.42
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.25
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.95
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.68
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$83.53
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$150.75
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$18.66
Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$33.67
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49%+$33.99
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+251.3%+$50.5
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
Valorant: Insomnia vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2backed Riddle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.67
Valorant: AGELITE vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2backed Riddle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.83
Valorant: Murash vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2backed Murash · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.7
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$44.7
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$78.76
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$15.12
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.66
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$65.42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$35.26
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.5
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$17.28
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.04
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.72
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49%+$19.24
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.19
All 6 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gwangju: Alex Bolt vs Ilia Simakinbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$11.75
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$20.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.