CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5a4245cf931902022f1bafe022828504b221afb8b5c5891a87a71cbc18091d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof Legacy, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed HOTU | 34c | 17,198$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,418.69 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Legacy | 57c | 16,086$9,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,191.29 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked HOTU | 28c | 15,231$4,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,957.58 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Legacy | 68c | 13,893$9,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,495.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed HOTU | 40c | 7,770$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,691.53 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Legacy | 44c | 7,568$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.8 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Legacy | 67c | 7,437$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.77 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed HOTU | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.98 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Legacy | 68c | 5,788$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.5 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy | 71c | 4,815$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.86 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked HOTU | 34c | 4,624$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.87 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed HOTU | 39c | 4,325$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.31 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed HOTU | 47c | 4,317$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.25 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Legacy | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Legacy | 62c | 3,971$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.14 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HOTU | 38c | 3,690$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.88 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU | 32c | 3,185$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Legacy | 66c | 3,081$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.65 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HOTU | 31c | 3,054$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.17 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Legacy | 70c | 2,874$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.05 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Legacy | 68c | 2,401$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.01 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed HOTU | 34c | 2,200$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.81 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed HOTU | 35c | 2,124$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.94 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Legacy | 65c | 1,955$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.51 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Legacy | 66c | 1,841$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.94 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…eca4backed HOTU | 28c | 1,709$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Legacy | 68c | 1,687$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.78 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Legacy | 66c | 1,625$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.85 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…85e5backed HOTU | 37c | 1,524$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Legacy | 63c | 1,400$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.93 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy | 76c | 1,369$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.36 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked HOTU | 37c | 1,288$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.16 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 37c | 1,285$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.26 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy | 63c | 1,118$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.66 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked HOTU | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.94 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed HOTU | 34c | 982.13$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.2 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HOTU | 29c | 967.79$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.1 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked HOTU | 39c | 849.33$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.83 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked HOTU | 37c | 783.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.36 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Legacy | 67c | 749.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed HOTU | 36c | 745.64$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.16 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed HOTU | 29c | 723.79$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.89 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked HOTU | 66c | 707.22$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.71 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Legacy | 72c | 682.78$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed HOTU | 34c | 678.77$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.05 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Legacy | 74c | 642.1$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.66 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HOTU | 33c | 623.07$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.51 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed HOTU | 25c | 620.77$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.29 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Legacy | 61c | 604.97$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.42 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed HOTU | 37c | 596.44$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.27 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy | 66c | 592.86$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.66 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed HOTU | 41c | 585.55$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.37 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked HOTU | 35c | 580.36$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.85 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed HOTU | 35c | 576.73$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.92 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed HOTU | 21c | 559.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.38 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked HOTU | 35c | 551.56$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.51 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked HOTU | 22c | 519.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.54 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Legacy | 65c | 513.39$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.91 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed HOTU | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…23ccbacked HOTU | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Legacy | 66c | 489.8$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.27 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked HOTU | 44c | 483.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy | 68c | 450.92$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.55 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Legacy | 63c | 402.82$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.52 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Legacy | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Legacy | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf551…fb1dbacked Legacy | 55c | 399.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Legacy | 67c | 398.17$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.63 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…9531backed Legacy | 62c | 394.03$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked HOTU | 41c | 389.35$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.65 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HOTU | 33c | 379.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.59 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…6976backed Legacy | 52c | 374.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked HOTU | 39c | 346.42$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.42 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 27c | 326.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.68 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked HOTU | 8c | 321.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.88 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Legacy | 63c | 319.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed HOTU | 38c | 314.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked HOTU | 36c | 308.96$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.88 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Legacy | 63c | 308.73$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked HOTU | 40c | 303.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.2 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked HOTU | 45c | 288.09$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed HOTU | 29c | 287.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.93 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed HOTU | 29c | 287.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.7 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed HOTU | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…bd8cbacked Legacy | 61c | 279.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HOTU | 29c | 278.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.38 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed HOTU | 15c | 276$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…972ebacked Legacy | 72c | 265.42$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.42 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Legacy | 61c | 258.36$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84c…d035backed Legacy | 77c | 256.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked HOTU | 48c | 250.26$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Legacy | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked HOTU | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Legacy | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Legacy | 63c | 249.7$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Legacy | 69c | 242.27$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.82 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Legacy | 67c | 238.48$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0311…f80ebacked HOTU | 18c | 233.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.51 | 181 | 26.5%48 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…58debacked Legacy | 66c | 222.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 137 | 65%89 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HOTU | 33c | 203.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.34 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.