CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8dba0426f4cd4d77b1f2ec1d255a5a86ca762d41cbd140d61e45662bb841503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof Legacy, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61fe…0956backed HOTU | 35c | 22,648$7,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,740.97 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked HOTU | 24c | 11,484$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,724.94 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Legacy | 65c | 11,036$7,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.17 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy | 64c | 5,327$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.91 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Legacy | 68c | 3,733$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.74 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HOTU | 44c | 3,365$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.34 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Legacy | 32c | 3,333$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed HOTU | 50c | 2,803$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.77 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Legacy | 61c | 2,405$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.77 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed HOTU | 42c | 2,275$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.69 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HOTU | 52c | 2,165$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.24 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed HOTU | 40c | 2,161$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.55 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Legacy | 69c | 2,144$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.75 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Legacy | 71c | 2,014$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.83 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed HOTU | 34c | 1,998$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.77 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU | 54c | 1,978$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.31 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…eca4backed HOTU | 38c | 1,769$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HOTU | 46c | 1,524$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.2 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy | 61c | 1,497$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.53 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed HOTU | 47c | 1,310$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.54 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Legacy | 22c | 1,259$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed HOTU | 30c | 1,123$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.84 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HOTU | 46c | 1,116$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…85e5backed HOTU | 75c | 1,077$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Legacy | 56c | 1,031$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.14 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Legacy | 66c | 1,003$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.78 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed HOTU | 43c | 986.97$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.12 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HOTU | 62c | 986.14$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.22 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 59c | 979.51$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Legacy | 62c | 947.82$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.36 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy | 57c | 905.04$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.22 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Legacy | 64c | 884.55$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.11 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked HOTU | 34c | 877.56$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.19 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked HOTU | 36c | 861.59$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.35 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy | 78c | 759.79$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed HOTU | 34c | 645.39$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.32 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HOTU | 41c | 627.3$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Legacy | 57c | 602.88$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.95 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Legacy | 65c | 587.32$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.5 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed HOTU | 38c | 540.68$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.68 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HOTU | 33c | 539.79$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.83 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed HOTU | 38c | 484.87$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.31 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked HOTU | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy | 63c | 476.1$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.09 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed HOTU | 36c | 422.86$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.63 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked HOTU | 68c | 407.89$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.9 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed HOTU | 42c | 392.69$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.76 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed HOTU | 44c | 386.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked HOTU | 27c | 382.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.21 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked HOTU | 39c | 378.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.74 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed HOTU | 48c | 300.83$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.49 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HOTU | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…52b1backed HOTU | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked HOTU | 49c | 271.49$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed HOTU | 51c | 261.77$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Legacy | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Legacy | 21c | 248.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Legacy | 61c | 222.54$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed HOTU | 29c | 193.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed HOTU | 36c | 192.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Legacy | 18c | 153.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed HOTU | 59c | 150.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Legacy | 66c | 146.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Legacy | 57c | 138.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…e786backed Legacy | 34c | 132.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed HOTU | 46c | 117.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HOTU | 43c | 116.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Legacy | 36c | 113.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed HOTU | 54c | 112.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked HOTU | 32c | 110$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed HOTU | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Legacy | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…abbbbacked HOTU | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed HOTU | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked HOTU | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Legacy | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HOTU | 44c | 88.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Legacy | 14c | 83.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed HOTU | 48c | 77.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed HOTU | 25c | 74.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed HOTU | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed HOTU | 42c | 69.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…bff2backed Legacy | 74c | 66.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Legacy | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked HOTU | 37c | 55.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HOTU | 49c | 55.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Legacy | 64c | 54.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Legacy | 43c | 51.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Legacy | 44c | 51.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…5adfbacked Legacy | 75c | 49.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked HOTU | 69c | 49.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked HOTU | 60c | 47.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Legacy | 67c | 46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed HOTU | 60c | 45.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HOTU | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Legacy | 44c | 44.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Legacy | 37c | 42.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…4129backed Legacy | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed HOTU | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…1d1abacked Legacy | 56c | 34.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.