CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ac789200f1ae38360768a60aa76cf7305185ecaa72f0e9f129c8b3a98eedbf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.99 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 47c | 855.14$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.53 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 54c | 814.33$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.47 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 55c | 647.77$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.32 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…4df4backed Over | 48c | 609.83$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Over | 70c | 571$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under | 30c | 547.02$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.91 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 53c | 524.4$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.47 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 496.1$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.21 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 60c | 473.81$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.76 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 392.54$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.91 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Over | 50c | 188.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 188.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 33c | 170.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 33c | 162.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 105.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 47c | 103.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 46c | 99.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 54c | 92.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 87.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 41c | 69.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Under | 59c | 61.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Under | 31c | 60.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 50c | 49.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 64c | 43.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 34c | 41.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…3c72backed Over | 65c | 37.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…ed6ebacked Over | 55c | 33.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…0416backed Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 46c | 25.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Over | 71c | 24.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 65c | 21.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 58c | 19.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…30e2backed Over | 68c | 18.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 61c | 17.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 590 | 44.9%265 W · 325 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.