TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Gen.G, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$590,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$694,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked DN SOOPers19c96,314$18,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,532.7355955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed DN SOOPers0c22,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.223775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed DN SOOPers15c17,353$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,524.8289746.9%421 W · 476 L+43.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed DN SOOPers20c15,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.991,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed DN SOOPers15c15,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9936433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed DN SOOPers17c14,716$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.41,15849.2%570 W · 588 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed DN SOOPers22c13,565$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.9748449.8%241 W · 243 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked DN SOOPers16c11,395$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.2331328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed DN SOOPers18c10,024$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.371,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed DN SOOPers10c9,053$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.331,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked DN SOOPers20c9,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80070456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80e…a4c5backed DN SOOPers11c7,621$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.518442.4%78 W · 106 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0254…34b3backed DN SOOPers52c7,434$3,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,881.254170.7%29 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers10c7,158$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.961,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Gen.G80c6,837$5,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.3917041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked DN SOOPers19c6,396$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.984339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed DN SOOPers20c6,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9982452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d25…835ebacked DN SOOPers17c5,334$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked DN SOOPers21c5,233$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.8567250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Gen.G80c5,138$4,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.5222624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed DN SOOPers15c4,835$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.2617133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DN SOOPers12c4,569$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.491,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed DN SOOPers2c4,217$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.727889.8%77 W · 711 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Gen.G80c2,997$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.531,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gen.G64c2,637$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.81,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gen.G60c2,421$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.531,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed DN SOOPers21c2,382$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1282953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed DN SOOPers16c2,374$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.8444335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed DN SOOPers21c2,349$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.241,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gen.G59c2,241$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.741,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked DN SOOPers38c2,166$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.82,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf270…7a37backed Gen.G62c2,034$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.519053.3%48 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed DN SOOPers4c2,020$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9529527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Gen.G50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00051748.2%249 W · 268 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Gen.G80c1,976$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.266942.9%287 W · 382 L-30.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed DN SOOPers21c1,951$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.81,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed DN SOOPers36c1,908$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.331,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed DN SOOPers21c1,905$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.091,44157.4%827 W · 614 L+35.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked DN SOOPers21c1,764$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.251,21954.5%664 W · 555 L+52.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed DN SOOPers4c1,741$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.321,26542.8%541 W · 724 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Gen.G69c1,705$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.9969539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed DN SOOPers21c1,667$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0864553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gen.G79c1,584$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.632,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gen.G58c1,504$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3285942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed DN SOOPers20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked DN SOOPers18c1,494$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8895951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb063…fa55backed DN SOOPers21c1,361$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.785759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed DN SOOPers6c1,303$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2975738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked DN SOOPers15c1,300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0449541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed DN SOOPers21c1,273$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.8471249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Gen.G80c1,235$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2471,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Gen.G80c1,223$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.5337662%233 W · 143 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed DN SOOPers16c1,195$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1424323%56 W · 187 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Gen.G80c1,186$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.121,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed DN SOOPers43c1,151$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.9835546.8%166 W · 189 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed DN SOOPers16c1,111$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.761,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed DN SOOPers21c1,098$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.861,01647%478 W · 538 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed DN SOOPers21c1,066$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9421948.4%106 W · 113 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b0…9ef4backed DN SOOPers7c1,015$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1325252.4%132 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked DN SOOPers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102323.9%9 W · 223 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed DN SOOPers13c999.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010353.4%55 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb08…b630backed Gen.G52c996.43$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.2317032.9%56 W · 114 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Gen.G80c991.03$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.2146257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Gen.G80c988$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.61,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked DN SOOPers17c836.95$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8658420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9dd5…15a8backed Gen.G53c831.44$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.44757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…9350backed DN SOOPers15c805.49$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4211736.8%43 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed DN SOOPers21c792.56$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.441,00554%543 W · 462 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed DN SOOPers17c779.08$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.021,29926.6%345 W · 954 L+65.4wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Gen.G77c764.47$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4649253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Gen.G70c756.74$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3574250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked DN SOOPers20c710.71$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8110351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed DN SOOPers21c668.13$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.311,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Gen.G76c654.24$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7449461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked DN SOOPers40c613.13$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.071,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Gen.G63c612.2$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6820150.7%102 W · 99 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked DN SOOPers5c603.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8560847.9%291 W · 317 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed DN SOOPers16c593.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9630348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed DN SOOPers16c571.01$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3622617.7%40 W · 186 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Gen.G79c570.86$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8852848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa04b…f09bbacked Gen.G80c548.34$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.672454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Gen.G68c510.34$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5320649%101 W · 105 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed DN SOOPers7c506.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.091,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed DN SOOPers5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Gen.G79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10542940.1%172 W · 257 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked DN SOOPers34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17060538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked DN SOOPers15c474.5$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1876030.3%230 W · 530 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…f876backed DN SOOPers15c474.5$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.185040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed DN SOOPers42c468.39$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.861,57748.4%764 W · 813 L+17.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed DN SOOPers5c447.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.791,5203.3%50 W · 1,470 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed DN SOOPers12c417.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2686144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked DN SOOPers36c416.69$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3899756.6%564 W · 433 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed DN SOOPers16c415.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.471,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DN SOOPers11c406.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.492,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Gen.G79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8494644.6%422 W · 524 L-2.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a2…3b2fbacked DN SOOPers12c389.42$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.735922%13 W · 46 L-9.9wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked DN SOOPers18c380.32$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4686649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Gen.G79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7543642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gen.G78c348.92$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.42,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed DN SOOPers10c346.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8250549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.