TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Gen.G, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$443,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$573,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers16c27,159$4,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,358.071,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed DN SOOPers16c23,740$3,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,798.41,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed DN SOOPers18c20,630$3,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.248149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed DN SOOPers18c18,239$3,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.1153750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DN SOOPers15c18,018$2,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.363,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed DN SOOPers15c12,957$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.6851348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed DN SOOPers4c9,987$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.487869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed DN SOOPers3c9,811$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.853775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked DN SOOPers17c9,662$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.631328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed DN SOOPers9c9,052$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.341,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed DN SOOPers14c7,874$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.871,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed DN SOOPers18c5,554$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7125143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd48…2e1abacked DN SOOPers7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed DN SOOPers18c4,999$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.7248440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed DN SOOPers16c4,995$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.2436433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed DN SOOPers9c4,903$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.822624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked DN SOOPers8c4,890$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.449129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe80e…a4c5backed DN SOOPers13c4,681$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.7618442.4%78 W · 106 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked DN SOOPers10c2,950$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28250242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked DN SOOPers12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed DN SOOPers6c2,359$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5443642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked DN SOOPers17c2,066$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.2267250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed DN SOOPers15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked DN SOOPers17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9923252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x709c…ce30backed DN SOOPers8c1,933$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6410034%34 W · 66 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked DN SOOPers13c1,754$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.973237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e4a…1078backed DN SOOPers2c1,553$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.361346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick30cpaid-6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked DN SOOPers14c1,520$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.591,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3976…d68ebacked DN SOOPers10c1,324$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5311630.2%35 W · 81 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x844c…2998backed DN SOOPers8c1,300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed DN SOOPers19c1,250$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.586251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed2…ce63backed DN SOOPers19c1,222$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed DN SOOPers18c1,219$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3424323%56 W · 187 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked DN SOOPers8c1,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9650956.2%286 W · 223 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf270…7a37backed DN SOOPers8c1,189$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.089053.3%48 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed DN SOOPers17c1,111$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.871,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked DN SOOPers16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16077131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed DN SOOPers16c988.18$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1156432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed DN SOOPers13c975.4$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5775738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed DN SOOPers12c967.49$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3985442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed DN SOOPers7c799.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed DN SOOPers3c794.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.311,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed DN SOOPers15c711.42$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7117133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ba…afdabacked DN SOOPers3c702.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0617616.5%29 W · 147 L-11.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed DN SOOPers19c665.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.544346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed DN SOOPers6c644.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3369539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked DN SOOPers11c584$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4319743.7%86 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed DN SOOPers17c549.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.041,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed DN SOOPers11c549.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0429527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…9350backed DN SOOPers18c528.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0811736.8%43 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed DN SOOPers18c528.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0818951.3%97 W · 92 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked DN SOOPers18c522.94$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1317228.5%49 W · 123 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked DN SOOPers12c516.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9953139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed DN SOOPers18c515.54$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.822617.7%40 W · 186 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DN SOOPers9c513.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.862,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25a2…3b2fbacked DN SOOPers9c503.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.355922%13 W · 46 L-9.9wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed DN SOOPers17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8519744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed DN SOOPers16c500$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62de…39fbbacked DN SOOPers17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed DN SOOPers17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fe…6a33backed DN SOOPers7c497.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.973253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed DN SOOPers19c489.77$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.061,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DN SOOPers8c472.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.792,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed DN SOOPers19c452.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1714246.5%66 W · 76 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed DN SOOPers14c440.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.016443.8%28 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked DN SOOPers10c395.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.552,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…563ebacked DN SOOPers18c392.68$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.686734.3%23 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed DN SOOPers15c385.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.891,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed DN SOOPers11c378.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7814336.4%52 W · 91 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8420…6183backed DN SOOPers8c349.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked DN SOOPers9c326.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.251,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed DN SOOPers16c310.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3357349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed DN SOOPers4c299.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7215232.2%49 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked DN SOOPers15c279.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2233042.4%140 W · 190 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed DN SOOPers18c264.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5492342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b52…354ebacked DN SOOPers18c264.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.545425.9%14 W · 40 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9da7…8bb1backed DN SOOPers16c259.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.212048.3%58 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5e…9c6ebacked DN SOOPers19c250.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5710422.1%23 W · 81 L-14.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf3b…7e98backed DN SOOPers18c241.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3911331%35 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked DN SOOPers16c231.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5716240.7%66 W · 96 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed DN SOOPers9c230.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6736643.7%160 W · 206 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked DN SOOPers17c229.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3960124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa926…8a81backed DN SOOPers15c223.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.19616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed DN SOOPers8c217.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4140435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dea…3b56backed DN SOOPers6c212.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.271533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked DN SOOPers16c210.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3558420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x89fe…908abacked DN SOOPers14c205.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.482025%5 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed DN SOOPers15c200.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e2…8fb6backed DN SOOPers10c190$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.626236.6%96 W · 166 L+24.6wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked DN SOOPers8c188.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.471,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed DN SOOPers14c179.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5910653.8%57 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9859…8656backed DN SOOPers8c177.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.17119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-69.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87f1…21fabacked DN SOOPers19c160.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.445543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked DN SOOPers15c159.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7571057%405 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed DN SOOPers10c152.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed DN SOOPers16c149.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.071,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed DN SOOPers9c132.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9350549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed DN SOOPers19c129.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.931,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd372…5facbacked DN SOOPers17c128.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.811435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed DN SOOPers19c125.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7851044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.