TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b52…354e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5425.9%14 W · 40 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$630
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$182.55
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,214.61
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.35
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.15
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.14
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$950.2
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.4
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.66
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.1
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.55
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.19
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,959Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$880.39
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.32
LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.45
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.44
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$634.3
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.67
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.96
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$201.71
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.8
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.82
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,330.8
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,001.82
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$148.76
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$343.97
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.59
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Ricobacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,812Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$1,595.97
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.34
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-58.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$1,903.83
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.68
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$440.36
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.81
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.