MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d77900171bdc7816bb5eca7ac5d99511d86877a07bf20d1e4a820bf5064e06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $584,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $641,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 179,965$98,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,234.48 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…86d9backed Minnesota Twins | 0c | 66,003$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 44,046$20,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,181.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 30,196$14,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,816.78 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 27,324$14,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,606.43 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 22,490$10,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,470.5 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 22,444$10,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,421.25 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 19,649$8,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,997.54 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 18,707$8,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080.28 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 16,546$8,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,776.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 15,277$8,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,161.34 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 13,375$7,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,152.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 11,125$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,228.57 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 10,108$5,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.68 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 10,010$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700.41 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 9,119$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 7,151$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.02 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…354ebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 6,809$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.89 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 5,750$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 4,728$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.4 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 3,947$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.23 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 3,934$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.36 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 3,771$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.9 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 3,728$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.3 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,320$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.04 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…c8f6backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 3,102$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,905$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.16 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,748$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.82 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,701$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.51 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 2,635$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.75 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,542$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.27 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,495$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.78 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.32 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.88 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,087$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.53 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,788$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.5 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,497$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.5 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 1,432$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.38 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,400$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,366$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 1,195$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,194$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.18 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,187$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.34 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,173$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.68 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,128$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.39 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,036$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 992.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 983.38$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.39 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 980.32$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 906.43$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.51 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 881.73$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.71 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 860.56$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.86 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 841.39$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.35 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 810.9$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.01 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 806.23$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.37 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 776$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.96 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 568.35$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.44 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 560$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 551.69$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 547.06$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.07 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 534.78$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 528.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 526.79$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.95 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…6a4ebacked Minnesota Twins | 4c | 522.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 521.71$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.43 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 513.36$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 508.19$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.91 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 504.95$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.22 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392d…b815backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 491.4$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ae…9e3fbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 485.64$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.57 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 484.1$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 484.1$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 481.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.84 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 456.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 428.56$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.42 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 426.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.24 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 421.66$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.89 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 418.51$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.98 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 418.01$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.23 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 394.32$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.61 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 387.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 379.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 362.43$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.97 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 333.37$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.01 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 328.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 325.94$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.