TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KT Rolsterof BNK FEARX, KT Rolster
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$544,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$647,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,049 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc75a…1ab2backed BNK FEARX1c38,809$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.877889.8%77 W · 711 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed BNK FEARX26c35,368$9,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,207.9223447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FEARX16c24,994$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.531,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX35c22,965$8,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,037.721,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed BNK FEARX0c20,399$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.457451.4%295 W · 279 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed BNK FEARX34c17,275$5,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,844.031,15849.2%570 W · 588 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…4d1fbacked KT Rolster65c12,086$7,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,279.31968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BNK FEARX10c11,666$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.381,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed KT Rolster66c10,515$6,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,575.2711743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed BNK FEARX37c8,885$3,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,303.1559750.4%301 W · 296 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed KT Rolster66c8,776$5,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,007.3648157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX34c8,313$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.273,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BNK FEARX35c8,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9882452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed KT Rolster67c7,623$5,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.653750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed BNK FEARX17c7,492$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.4725952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed BNK FEARX1c6,200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345873.6%21 W · 566 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+176.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed KT Rolster65c6,025$3,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.626651.5%34 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed BNK FEARX33c5,678$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.815153.6%81 W · 70 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed KT Rolster65c5,117$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.881,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80e…a4c5backed BNK FEARX11c5,081$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57618442.4%78 W · 106 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed KT Rolster67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65090443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked KT Rolster77c4,666$3,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.791,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed KT Rolster75c4,467$3,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.425269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed BNK FEARX36c4,412$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.291,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed BNK FEARX36c4,210$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.61,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked KT Rolster64c4,175$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50367250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed BNK FEARX32c3,562$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.8417133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed BNK FEARX18c3,490$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.232440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BNK FEARX34c3,430$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.281,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked KT Rolster68c3,258$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.9928166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked BNK FEARX32c3,090$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.5449541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked BNK FEARX15c3,071$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.731,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked KT Rolster68c3,034$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.7696057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked KT Rolster65c3,012$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.3126849.3%132 W · 136 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed BNK FEARX29c2,941$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.7540232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed KT Rolster76c2,941$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.4585942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed KT Rolster63c2,830$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.9745366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX33c2,713$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.4544550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked KT Rolster67c2,697$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.221,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3976…d68ebacked BNK FEARX9c2,681$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1511630.2%35 W · 81 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked KT Rolster75c2,459$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.081,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked KT Rolster65c2,344$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.341,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed BNK FEARX8c2,343$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9729846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed KT Rolster63c2,250$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83557945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed KT Rolster74c2,078$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.5814562.1%90 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed BNK FEARX34c2,039$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.9610346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked KT Rolster67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6609129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed BNK FEARX5c1,935$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2976639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked BNK FEARX24c1,908$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.354555.2%301 W · 244 L+24.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb08…b630backed KT Rolster64c1,732$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.5517032.9%56 W · 114 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed BNK FEARX11c1,664$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9569539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BNK FEARX1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1579653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed KT Rolster68c1,483$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.4226062.7%163 W · 97 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked BNK FEARX1c1,440$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.942323.9%9 W · 223 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed KT Rolster75c1,421$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.563375.8%25 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BNK FEARX36c1,408$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.81,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee1…6a80backed KT Rolster65c1,380$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.081747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked BNK FEARX36c1,346$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6570456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed BNK FEARX35c1,250$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.941,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed KT Rolster64c1,223$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.2854246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked BNK FEARX28c1,180$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8395951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacf2…e270backed BNK FEARX17c1,165$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.632030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2615…c16dbacked KT Rolster76c1,150$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0123357.1%133 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked BNK FEARX33c1,110$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1460847.9%291 W · 317 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed BNK FEARX17c1,098$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.698336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked KT Rolster75c1,036$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3652365%340 W · 183 L-16.3wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed KT Rolster64c1,024$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.631,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked BNK FEARX34c1,019$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6342941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked KT Rolster76c1,000$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23984360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed KT Rolster65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,18444.4%526 W · 658 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed KT Rolster64c978.4$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2282953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba9…555ebacked KT Rolster63c977.8$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.7917354.3%94 W · 79 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1276…0bf0backed KT Rolster65c971.71$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.186958%40 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked BNK FEARX33c959.8$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.7323252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed BNK FEARX36c929.16$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7386144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked KT Rolster77c921.17$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8219745.2%89 W · 108 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed KT Rolster65c900$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31524147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b52…354ebacked BNK FEARX5c895.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.325525.5%14 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-57.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BNK FEARX36c865.44$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.562,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked BNK FEARX11c778.18$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3946154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked KT Rolster68c774.83$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9540752.3%213 W · 194 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed KT Rolster64c764.38$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.181,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98ea…9d52backed BNK FEARX30c763.55$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.139961.6%61 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ce…6c4abacked KT Rolster65c753.08$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5857847.8%276 W · 302 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed BNK FEARX35c749.97$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4937039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked KT Rolster66c742.12$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.3224858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed KT Rolster63c723.03$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5296350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a5…ec5cbacked BNK FEARX4c671.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.683540%14 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed KT Rolster78c661.03$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.331,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed BNK FEARX18c651$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.791,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX11c642$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.622,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed BNK FEARX27c620.95$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0524323%56 W · 187 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked KT Rolster63c620.83$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7151256.1%287 W · 225 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed BNK FEARX28c620.56$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.831,13643.2%491 W · 645 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked BNK FEARX15c619.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9210351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BNK FEARX9c609.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.791,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed KT Rolster71c605.94$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.229527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29e6…3365backed KT Rolster64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21625368.4%173 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed BNK FEARX36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21671249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed KT Rolster68c589.5$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3327655.8%154 W · 122 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.