Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43ee5129631738fee58d021da96678d6340edde2dbc3a52c8e2577107e4cc93d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 66c | 959.29$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.96 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Over | 35c | 794.4$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 34c | 466.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.13 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Under | 57c | 437.25$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.02 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 398.64$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 62c | 378.9$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.19 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Under | 70c | 317.25$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 64c | 316.44$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 29c | 262.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 44c | 257.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Over | 43c | 234.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 33c | 229.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Over | 47c | 205.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 58c | 167.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…1d4abacked Under | 70c | 161.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Over | 46c | 148.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 304 | 40.1%122 W · 182 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 143.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Under | 69c | 142.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 101 | 69.3%70 W · 31 L | +14.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Over | 45c | 135.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 54c | 124.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 48c | 112.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 52c | 103.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 366 | 60.1%220 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Over | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 52c | 74.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…d0dfbacked Over | 43c | 63.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 48c | 59.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…7eeabacked Over | 43c | 48.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615a…8af2backed Under | 63c | 43.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…e8c7backed Over | 43c | 37.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Over | 42c | 36.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 49c | 35.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Over | 32c | 32.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Over | 52c | 30.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 43c | 28.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 52c | 26.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Over | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 187 | 56.7%106 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…ff26backed Under | 52c | 25.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Over | 48c | 25.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 65c | 23.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 65c | 23.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 65c | 23.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 55c | 20.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.