MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c78713e53813c97ccc1261f34c1d7684d7f9d011866570335f05bac074c4c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof New York Mets, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $836,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $891,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed New York Mets | 36c | 294,396$105,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,771.46 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 187,147$119,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,930.75 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 142,934$91,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,461.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked New York Mets | 36c | 101,986$36,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,714.81 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 37c | 52,011$19,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,244 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 49,655$31,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,884.27 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 44,852$29,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,473.38 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked New York Mets | 36c | 26,724$9,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,615.86 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 36c | 26,724$9,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,615.86 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…1519backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 24,067$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,066.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed New York Mets | 35c | 20,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.98 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 16,068$10,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,675.39 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 36c | 14,476$5,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,211.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 13,428$8,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.54 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed New York Mets | 44c | 11,472$5,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,051.74 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…ff07backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 9,563$7,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 8,179$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.93 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 6,965$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.47 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 6,723$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.09 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a671backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 6,621$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 36c | 5,891$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.44 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed New York Mets | 37c | 5,190$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.49 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 36c | 4,808$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.88 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 33c | 3,850$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.86 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 3,524$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.22 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 3,174$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.38 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 36c | 3,114$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 3,064$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 3,009$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.54 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 2,540$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.27 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 35c | 2,514$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…9bb3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 2,502$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 2,400$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 2,293$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.53 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed New York Mets | 44c | 2,198$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.38 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Mets | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 1,976$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.71 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed New York Mets | 34c | 1,951$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,740$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.88 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked New York Mets | 36c | 1,635$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.5 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 1,630$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.9 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 1,600$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,576$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.47 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 43c | 1,528$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed New York Mets | 6c | 1,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,473$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.31 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked New York Mets | 33c | 1,439$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,432$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.91 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed New York Mets | 7c | 1,350$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked New York Mets | 36c | 1,068$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.64 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked New York Mets | 37c | 1,043$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,020$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 994.34$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.3 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked New York Mets | 44c | 978.44$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.93 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 974.4$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.04 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 930.61$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.94 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Mets | 37c | 929.03$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.92 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 907.42$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed New York Mets | 41c | 905.76$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.94 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked New York Mets | 36c | 801.33$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 6c | 786.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 758.46$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.51 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 750$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 34c | 747.52$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…282abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets | 36c | 709.43$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.62 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 708$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.88 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed New York Mets | 7c | 687.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 36c | 686.23$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 680.84$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.85 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 672.01$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.93 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed New York Mets | 36c | 667.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 602.46$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 580.35$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.38 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 558.83$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8af3…bfa1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 556.82$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 550.65$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed New York Mets | 11c | 548.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 536.16$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 529.6$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.93 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 525.28$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.61 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 512.29$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.42 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed New York Mets | 37c | 511.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.97 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed New York Mets | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets | 36c | 480.8$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.09 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…414ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 448.02$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…354ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 437.52$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 417.16$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 402.32$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 402.13$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets | 36c | 399.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked New York Mets | 9c | 377.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersthis page
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.