TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7244…72e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 74 out of 100 (+0.22 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 74 out of 100; worst Earnings at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT5152.9%27 W · 24 L+16.4wins+0.32per pick21cpaid+138.8%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
Middle East — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+445.5%+$139.73
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+525%+$252
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$243
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+600%+$600
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$102.85
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$154
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+278.4%+$257.5
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$104.15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+678.4%+$871.54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+387.2%+$596.07
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$125.02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$92.98
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.8
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+356.1%+$507.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+62.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$28.43
Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$158
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+219.5%+$57.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$42.47
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$43.32
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+254.5%+$378.47
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$39.97
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$356
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+209.6%+$36.43
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or higher on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.24
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-40.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+151.9%+$27.95
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.78
Services Down Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$72.77
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$223
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.16
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.42
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.5
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.38
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$91.5
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.95
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+174%+$95.25
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.56
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+599.3%+$857
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+272.3%+$256
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$156
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$246
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.85
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+85.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick17cpaid+1,134.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+164.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+128.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$720
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major Space Weather event this week? (March 22-28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.