AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x913d94d8140c5f34a36298c2d2855c157f03b47884f780fe4a6f40c42fecd760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $566,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $707,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dfe…0a5ebacked Yes | 54c | 52,731$28,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,405.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…be56backed Yes | 56c | 20,928$11,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,110.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d7…f73abacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 2c | 7,485$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 7,400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 2c | 6,255$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked No | 2c | 6,195$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 19c | 5,542$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.43 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7c…eca0backed Yes | 60c | 4,760$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…2adabacked Yes | 61c | 4,735$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 79c | 4,291$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 71c | 3,649$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked No | 1c | 3,466$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7417…0e5abacked No | 49c | 3,192$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 3c | 3,183$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 3,165$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.28 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,162$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…907ebacked No | 3c | 3,160$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3b…f4a7backed No | 1c | 2,453$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…4a07backed Yes | 61c | 2,448$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 54c | 2,410$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.23 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 58c | 2,398$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.8 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 2,294$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…57c7backed No | 7c | 2,202$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 1,952$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…e1e5backed No | 43c | 1,879$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a81…4682backed Yes | 48c | 1,823$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 62c | 1,800$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 69c | 1,797$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.31 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 24c | 1,711$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.01 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 60c | 1,693$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.89 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 41c | 1,553$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.49 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…11cabacked No | 26c | 1,531$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 10c | 1,503$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 80c | 1,490$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.13 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a80…cfdcbacked Yes | 67c | 1,441$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…7fbdbacked Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…e7bfbacked No | 4c | 1,379$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 33c | 1,301$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.47 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x599f…4ce3backed Yes | 68c | 1,300$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…5d2cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,290$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…73bebacked Yes | 74c | 1,287$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,286$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked No | 2c | 1,258$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 3c | 1,252$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 3c | 1,246$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 17c | 1,233$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.77 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…f448backed Yes | 65c | 1,223$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…5febbacked Yes | 53c | 1,220$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Yes | 61c | 1,200$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2f…7e70backed Yes | 77c | 1,197$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,176$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 1,129$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.43 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 68c | 1,085$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 46c | 1,075$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.39 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked No | 2c | 1,054$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…7d5ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,014$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 47c | 1,013$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.14 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 30c | 995.38$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.52 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 66c | 993.43$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.73 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02b…e17dbacked Yes | 70c | 969.48$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Yes | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002c…8c0bbacked Yes | 74c | 946.84$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 888.59$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.92 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 63c | 868.38$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…3dcfbacked No | 46c | 860.47$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 15c | 834.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…416abacked No | 6c | 799.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 73c | 749.99$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…7f65backed Yes | 70c | 715.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 701.4$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.73 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 693.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 76c | 692.93$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 1c | 684.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…f0d9backed No | 52c | 679$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 68c | 678.83$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4d…fc11backed No | 37c | 666$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 5c | 616.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…c09fbacked Yes | 45c | 599.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked No | 2c | 590.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 13c | 580$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 61c | 578.57$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.28 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked Yes | 48c | 542.69$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.82 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 38c | 528.19$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 57c | 511.4$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…0050backed No | 41c | 510.2$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 79c | 507.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 36c | 497.9$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.29 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 32c | 491.07$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…07acbacked Yes | 61c | 490.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.87 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…2c83backed Yes | 72c | 487.13$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked No | 7c | 467.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b2…abf1backed Yes | 60c | 451.47$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f9…dbafbacked Yes | 45c | 442.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…9f6abacked No | 5c | 407.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 63c | 396.33$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed No | 38c | 378.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…07d3backed Yes | 64c | 358.18$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…a23fbacked Yes | 67c | 357.94$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?this page
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.