TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96b2…abf1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: F1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT6653%35 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sara Bejlek vs Laura Siegemundbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.08
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bratislava: Martin Krumich vs Maxim Mrvabacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cattolica: Max Hans Rehberg vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$12.17
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosabacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5)backed Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guobacked Hanyu Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Jointbacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dangbacked Laura Mair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.03
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Boltbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT5461.1%33 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.17
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.63
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.48
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$18.31
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$10.43
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.6
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.5%+$7.42
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37.7%+$7.53
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2075%15 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$70.59
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$8.85
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$3.69
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$9.34
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.35
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.65
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+27%+$6.54
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+45%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42%+$8.39
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$57.78
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+34%+$6.8
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+29.2%+$29.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+535.1%+$133.77
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$26.31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$47.15
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$181.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.