MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcadec1acd8c3def85e7d3ddc476b71e020c581d203e4afa13b74cf409ef5c6bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $445,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,200 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 42,030$22,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,175.79 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 38,504$18,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,406.93 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 35,068$20,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,487.6 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 28,156$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,559.56 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 25,481$12,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250.1 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 20,000$8,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,576.41 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 17,633$9,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,116.88 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 16,000$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,319.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 14,542$9,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,353.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 12,198$5,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307.48 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 11,111$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.65 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 10,014$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,014.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 9,789$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.69 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 9,145$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,029.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 7,304$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.1 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 20c | 6,963$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 6,809$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 6,695$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.79 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 5,625$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.51 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 5,050$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.22 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 4,211$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 3,988$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,638$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,012$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.14 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 2,941$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.7 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 2,863$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.09 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 2,833$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.9 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 2,483$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.42 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 2,400$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 2,359$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.13 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 2,285$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.34 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 2,164$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 2,097$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 2,015$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.35 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 1,982$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.7 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,950$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.44 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,665$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.26 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,387$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.41 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,385$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.15 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,375$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.64 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,250$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.91 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 1,150$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 1,100$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 1,058$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 1,050$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.51 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 940.42$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.76 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 795.83$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.83 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 790.77$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.61 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 746$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.46 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 735.86$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 729.04$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.92 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 668.09$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.37 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 634.35$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 608.07$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.42 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kansas City Royals | 3c | 599.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Boston Red Sox | 78c | 589.61$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 571.04$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.43 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 522$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.59 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Kansas City Royals | 9c | 518.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…0efebacked Kansas City Royals | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 500$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.08 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 499.98$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.32 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 492.59$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 481.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 480$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.38 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…7c0abacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 466.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 447.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.47 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 431.36$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 420.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 420$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 408.16$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 393.32$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.62 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 374.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d94…01fabacked Boston Red Sox | 74c | 358.47$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +68%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 305.76$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 303.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.