MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x034471d41edd16cfd2680c101d622f856d389f8abd91c1c6005fc3edc842439e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 6,888$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.33 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 41c | 3,591$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.23 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 43c | 2,886$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.65 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 2,758$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 44c | 2,678$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.32 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 44c | 1,962$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.13 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 44c | 1,183$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.69 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 43c | 1,137$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.27 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 56c | 1,136$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.8 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 44c | 985.27$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.52 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 57c | 965.65$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.23 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 32c | 830.23$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.58 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 617.4$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.48 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Under | 55c | 540$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 479.46$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 56c | 453.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.24 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 41c | 349.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 57c | 304.84$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 31c | 264.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 45c | 240.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 240$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 57c | 237.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 56c | 192$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 59c | 177.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 153.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 135.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 44c | 113.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 44c | 113.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 57c | 101.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 43c | 101.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Under | 74c | 100.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Over | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 92.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Under | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 44c | 87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 34c | 83.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 56c | 81.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 40c | 61.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 35c | 58.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 35c | 50.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…5ceabacked Under | 57c | 49.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 43c | 46.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Under | 57c | 41.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 45c | 40.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 37.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 57c | 36.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 57c | 30.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 62c | 28.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 56c | 28.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 56c | 28.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Over | 42c | 26.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…2ac5backed Under | 60c | 26.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 44c | 26.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 52c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…e63cbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…f5f3backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7444…451bbacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Under | 60c | 24.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 58c | 23.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 57c | 22.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…14b1backed Under | 57c | 20.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 77c | 19.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 77c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.