MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x559902409510d8db5cf54ccdc96c01568bba2a7a19843d7d815e2c187d868828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $811,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $606,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $811,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b21…a230backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 200,049$98,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,023.77 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 49,020$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,019.61 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 34,444$24,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,144.31 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 20,665$10,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,332.27 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked San Francisco Giants | 25c | 20,000$5,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.9 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…cb80backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 19,930$9,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,964.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked San Francisco Giants | 14c | 16,527$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.88 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 15,376$7,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,534.22 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 13,462$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,462.12 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 12,480$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,990.36 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 12,243$6,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,121.53 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 11,847$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.88 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 11,229$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.34 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 10,650$3,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 10,351$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.18 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 9,755$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.04 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 6,430$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.66 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 5,902$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.9 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 4,741$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 4,309$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.06 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 3,831$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.36 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 3,729$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.41 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95a…b567backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 3,686$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 3,640$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 3,146$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.43 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 3,022$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.87 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 3,013$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.48 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 2,682$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 2,070$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 2,070$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.84 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 1,942$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.26 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 1,834$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.19 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 1,635$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.51 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 1,592$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.52 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 1,318$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…e9d1backed San Francisco Giants | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,200$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 1,110$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Francisco Giants | 25c | 1,056$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.91 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…b714backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,009$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.26 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…27a6backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 898.13$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.79 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 884.44$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.7 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 883.66$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c98fbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 883.16$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.6 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 841.42$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.9 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 771$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 758.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Francisco Giants | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…6ffbbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 733.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 73c | 717.17$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.07 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 710.1$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 709.48$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.46 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 705.88$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.88 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 702.84$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 649.99$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 646$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.19 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6b…9b5abacked San Francisco Giants | 28c | 635.74$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 603.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.96 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 588.71$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.47 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 564$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 26c | 534.51$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 495.06$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…04d1backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 484.98$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 464.1$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 450$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 420.44$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 411.76$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 410.28$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.63 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 407$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.36 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 399.79$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 395.14$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 385$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 376.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 372.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 371.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 350$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…ed44backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 349.02$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked San Francisco Giants | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 326.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 311.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 310.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 301.66$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.