MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeeba50b1e8facf1bdf824dbb6127bb66b58dee401e563ef5d5732ef184fba8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 51c | 29,604$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 50c | 22,609$11,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,410.48 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 9,047$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,613.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 50c | 7,089$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.61 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 3,540$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 2,409$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,881$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 1,755$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.53 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 52c | 1,660$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.76 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 1,573$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.5 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 52c | 1,404$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.43 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,375$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.75 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 1,299$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.39 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 1,102$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 982.44$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 934$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.92 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 850$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.67 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 50c | 844$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 48c | 795.72$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.78 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 52c | 784.41$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.29 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Under | 56c | 653.63$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 49c | 613.56$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.56 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 50c | 601.45$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.73 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 51c | 290.12$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 233.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 49c | 209.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 203$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…c92dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Under | 51c | 194.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 38c | 185.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.47 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 50c | 159.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 39c | 120.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 118.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Over | 50c | 116.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Under | 52c | 94.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 82.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 68c | 82.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 71c | 71.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 48c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 41c | 65.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked Over | 45c | 58.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…77debacked Over | 51c | 57.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 49c | 47.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 42.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bad…ed33backed Over | 47c | 38.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 56c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 49c | 31.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 58c | 29.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 49c | 25.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 42c | 24.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…b692backed Over | 51c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…26bcbacked Over | 61c | 22.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 21.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 50c | 20.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 69c | 17.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco GiantsWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.