TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,608 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55ea…7f0dbacked Yes62c11,179$6,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,253.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes60c10,958$6,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.2811547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes58c10,227$5,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,254.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No40c9,370$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.551145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No17c9,056$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.335255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No41c5,655$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.019935.4%35 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No38c5,600$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes55c5,204$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.4721337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No0c3,632$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.133766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No39c2,540$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.764472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No42c2,050$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85113219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Yes65c1,999$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.22633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No37c1,683$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.334035%14 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No27c1,621$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.757545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes65c1,442$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.896051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c1…36c8backed Yes60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked Yes76c1,061$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed No40c1,002$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.132218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-71.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No25c967.98$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.749333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed No28c931.08$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.867715.6%12 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No41c687.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.889547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No39c650.44$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1112325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No5c602.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.371833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f14…026ebacked Yes57c521.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes31c381.61$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.711050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Yes62c372.19$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.11837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Yes73c356.25$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No15c343.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde3a…a787backed No37c309$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ab…2f52backed No16c303.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid+12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No42c271$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4214458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No68c262.51$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8812353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No17c251.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes39c244.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.841241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c2…a6e0backed No38c240$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.161030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No21c203.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.131315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-35.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f4f…728abacked No38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed No39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7850%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc10f…c7dfbacked Yes56c199$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No70c188.95$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.454353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed No44c186.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…e0dbbacked Yes62c162.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.511225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed Yes63c158.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes61c157.01$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.642035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d12…1a3abacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-82.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No37c155.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.782650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No55c143.62$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.537659.2%45 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1350…a234backed No44c135.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b2…abf1backed Yes77c129.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.191080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+45%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc915…20c8backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Yes26c121.42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Yes31c121.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.185540%22 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e71…a8bdbacked No41c121.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf63e…d3afbacked No16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d6…4191backed Yes30c119.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes48c116$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.597028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed No36c111.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6077…3dc0backed Yes34c101.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.131844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.646633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323420.6%7 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…4073backed Yes20c99.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.993633.3%12 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+191.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No34c99.73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.343237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes75c95.95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d3b…3621backed Yes64c92.8$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes49c87.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.611936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x459c…0b30backed Yes76c85.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.49728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x451e…9ecfbacked Yes61c85.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bd…7281backed No43c84.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b3…2367backed No18c84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce15…89cdbacked Yes56c78.22$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f1…4464backed No18c77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce86…fe75backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6669…e6bfbacked Yes59c76.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed Yes34c75.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+206.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe57…721cbacked No68c75.18$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b3…1980backed Yes35c72.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes60c71.06$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes27c64.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3611836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d2…7ad6backed Yes31c62.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2610065%65 W · 35 L+20.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+66.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Yes48c62.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa846…e91ebacked Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeccc…71f5backed Yes62c56.6$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No40c55.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d9…72aabacked Yes50c54.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No66c51.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.835757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No34c50.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.172619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x941e…9775backed Yes54c50.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.142352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No31c50.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.852556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b13…2c26backed Yes29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No34c49.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.836325.4%16 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5c1…fa25backed Yes33c48.48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2164…fcd4backed No74c46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5032…b2babacked Yes44c45.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc647…7242backed Yes31c44.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.732045%9 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Yes35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.861942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No31c40.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43a…0776backed No39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.