TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc3eb…376c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
389
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT9141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+74%+$55.3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$407.76
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.94
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$155.24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+365.5%+$143.69
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.94
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$58.51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$15.16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$42.24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.83
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$6.31
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$13.81
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.09
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+397.6%+$166.61
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$59.66
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT4753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+35%+$185.46
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.41
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Completed match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$32.86
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$153.02
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.85
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.04
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+36.6%+$111.1
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+27.7%+$97.53
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africabacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.23
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$317
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$48.93
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+27.1%+$302.06
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$185.39
International T20 Series: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+28.9%+$203.97
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$97.59
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$129.58
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+84.9%+$270.62
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$61.92
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32.81
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+41.2%+$87.6
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+69.2%+$240.55
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 3)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+32.3%+$6.1
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$46.85
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 5)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,438.41
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.1
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+569.8%+$114.85
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$75.6
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.36
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31%+$26
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$19.95
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.2
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$8.3
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$38.6
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$48.15
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$4.5
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.55
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$205.36
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+48.9%+$227.87
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$93.16
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.5%+$106.71
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45.1
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.38
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25.3%+$31.52
Aston Villa vs. Wolves: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25%+$24
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+27.5%+$127.29
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60.22
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$23.2
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.6%+$188.73
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+39.3%+$133.37
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26.7
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+43.4%+$108.24
Newcastle vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+67.5%+$28.2
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$36.65
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.1%+$72.83
Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$15.75
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$94.22
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.02
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+27%+$55.71
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.01
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.02
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.25
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$72.24
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$47
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$42.79
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$17
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$35.4
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.4%+$24
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33%+$196
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.7%+$176.26
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$43.5
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.35
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$67.4
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40.6
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+34.1%+$114.52
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$52.9
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$96.52
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.99
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+240.6%+$77.7
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$27.99
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$29.3
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$38.3
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$14.7
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.57
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$37
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$27.2
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47%+$133.35
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.59
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$4.71
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+124.4%+$644.04
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+32.5%+$102.12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$193.49
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.79
Israel x Syria security agreement by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.8
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$50.01
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$23.92
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$26.95
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+57.2%+$60.86
Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.53
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+62%+$26.02
Will Trump attend UFC 322?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$28.8
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+70.2%+$26.8
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$42.45
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+123.9%+$88.55
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+34.9%+$11
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$234.14
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61.12
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.15
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16.64
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+244.8%+$24.85
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.9%+$119.79
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+209.3%+$182.69
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$53.19
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+146.8%+$115.96
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+50.2%+$83.6
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$522.99
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$132.5
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+66%+$65.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-18.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$14.6
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$16.6
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$49.94
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$121.05
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$198.7
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+37.8%+$112.01
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$69.58
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.6%+$66.7
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.7%+$197.2
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$42.9
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+42.6%+$51.12
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+53.9%+$68.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.3
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$105.2
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.8%+$152.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$42.13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+33.7%+$68.1
Spread: Liverpool FC (-0.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$11.08
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
ChatGPT Outage by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.7
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.9%+$15.7
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$32.99
Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$70.3
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54.55
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$33.15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$41.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.1
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33%+$18.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$160.7
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100.5%+$22.76
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" or "boat" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$25.2
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.7
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+90.6%+$56.07
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.7
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+54.6%+$10.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA say "Hyperscaler" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+39.2%+$21.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.5%+$47.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs G2 Gozen (BO3)backed G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.