TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked No38c7,587$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.631618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes52c2,414$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.8511547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes59c1,827$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.027944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db5…f6ddbacked No54c1,750$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.997739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes59c1,385$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.172227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes58c1,340$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.332334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No40c1,309$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.793151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed Yes62c1,062$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Yes50c1,051$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.415635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes61c1,024$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.016732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…a6d3backed No48c999.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes61c972.43$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.81926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No40c949.3$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.6510652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ada…62f7backed Yes66c910.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-45.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No50c760.73$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.421643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes36c719.07$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.9210020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…1f97backed No38c716.84$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No51c697.85$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.184946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes78c639.7$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.72528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked No40c588$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.21533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed Yes45c525.39$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4914458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes59c521.81$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5610837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes57c515.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.246050%30 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202015%3 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes60c497.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.023652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes46c496.72$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.235757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Yes52c410.85$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.21862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f2…e1c1backed Yes56c380.52$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.43333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Yes62c377.92$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.652240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9384…e025backed Yes64c320.31$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa84…7fddbacked Yes66c303.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.85944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No48c290$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.563467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes71c287.58$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No50c276.13$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.234852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes58c268.51$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.632661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes59c260$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.68939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed No33c258.37$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.397115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes74c255.6$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.611836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3255…c6c7backed Yes32c255$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.42528%7 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No38c225.36$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.733271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes55c221.37$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.239164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2267…3355backed No69c209.56$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed No5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed No42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846331.7%20 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes24c193.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8524720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No55c190.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.69165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeece…ee6fbacked No46c177.76$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-56.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c5…f6a1backed No37c168.95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-76.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes50c164$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.144148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes72c154.89$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.792955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bfc…edb9backed Yes50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No39c149.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.62969%20 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Yes74c135.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133f…a169backed Yes61c132.95$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No66c130.56$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.044266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8404…8c08backed Yes57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No60c118$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.88127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed No51c111$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.61837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54b7…80b6backed Yes75c106.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.811233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Yes52c106.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No55c104.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.088651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes58c103.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.35619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No41c102.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.133636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No40c101.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8231…22e4backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8a…2953backed Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd084…bdc9backed No36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+88.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No50c95.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.366966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No38c94.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3309…be44backed Yes41c91.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.514231%13 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No38c90.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.021266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf8…fd15backed Yes52c86.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d2…7ad6backed No35c84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410065%65 W · 35 L+20.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+66.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes45c82.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.889333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No48c81.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2911266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Yes64c77.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x049e…eb3abacked No38c77.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e18…7bb9backed Yes64c76.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.681266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No62c76.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.627950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No38c76.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.861154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c6…e1e7backed No38c76.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2970%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No38c74.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.031060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed No40c72.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeae8…7f85backed Yes70c71.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf50…5b25backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…23d9backed No46c65.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed No41c64.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.582218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-71.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No37c64.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.74136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No67c62.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.022673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7632…7a11backed No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes55c57.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7610128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes62c56.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.662040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes60c56.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No49c54.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.77933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9239…0c62backed No52c48.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.