F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd636825764245ad552def3aa9e6ab059f75f8cbf3298a43945ac88c49ef190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,596$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.41 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 16c | 1,326$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 21c | 967.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 18c | 800$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 19c | 727.53$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bc…ea6abacked Yes | 24c | 699.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes | 7c | 688.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…f41bbacked Yes | 18c | 685.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…f14fbacked Yes | 19c | 684.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 8c | 536.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 20c | 477.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…64c3backed Yes | 14c | 352.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…c3e8backed Yes | 21c | 343.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 24c | 328.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…41aabacked Yes | 9c | 321.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 18c | 319.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…3a06backed Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 80c | 292.42$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…0335backed Yes | 10c | 291.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 15c | 272.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 20c | 259.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 18c | 244.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 18c | 235.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…c4ecbacked Yes | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…7dd0backed Yes | 11c | 175.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cc…4426backed Yes | 20c | 161.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 17c | 149.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…f582backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae8…7f85backed Yes | 26c | 142.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Yes | 15c | 136.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Yes | 19c | 136$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 12c | 129.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…0e63backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d18…c3d6backed Yes | 20c | 123.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 15c | 114.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…bd37backed Yes | 21c | 107.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…901abacked No | 79c | 100.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…2953backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…9140backed Yes | 14c | 98.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…6df8backed Yes | 17c | 81.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4318backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 75c | 63.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b7…ed70backed Yes | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…be44backed No | 79c | 53.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196c…df7abacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 21c | 48.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.