Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aa59a452392b11ce0cd61bf2687c09a347b5ce07cae9338ee55d79618f3b6fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,379,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,382,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,379,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 39c | 124,109$47,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,205.19 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 42c | 121,247$50,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,790.91 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 45c | 106,454$47,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,565.22 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…80b9backed No | 54c | 78,063$42,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,261.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…65a5backed Yes | 15c | 76,077$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,676.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 46c | 65,360$30,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,142.25 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed No | 59c | 64,028$37,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,865.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…7537backed Yes | 50c | 63,800$31,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,215.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 27c | 59,177$15,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,294.46 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 33c | 56,306$18,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,574.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…27f2backed No | 0c | 49,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…118fbacked Yes | 11c | 44,878$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,888.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +799.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 31c | 40,190$12,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,629.18 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…1b23backed No | 24c | 40,168$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed No | 0c | 40,120$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 12c | 39,927$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,173.46 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 61c | 37,250$22,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,615.68 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 22c | 33,246$7,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,868.5 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 11c | 31,811$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,313.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked No | 78c | 29,393$23,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,052.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 11c | 28,929$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,890.66 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c37…0631backed No | 37c | 27,713$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 23c | 24,969$5,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,174.65 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 24c | 22,904$5,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,387.11 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 15c | 21,185$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,089.16 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Yes | 68c | 16,505$11,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,240.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 18c | 16,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,160 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 19c | 15,789$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,789.47 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed No | 0c | 15,134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 71c | 15,000$10,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,649.94 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 20c | 13,531$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,819.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 32c | 13,416$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,122.05 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 60c | 12,728$7,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,136.4 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 30c | 12,311$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,607.51 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…f655backed Yes | 6c | 11,960$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,221.78 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325b…7f09backed No | 0c | 11,363$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…c794backed No | 54c | 11,159$6,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1005…a843backed Yes | 44c | 10,997$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,115.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb87d…85f3backed Yes | 10c | 10,057$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,059.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked No | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 64c | 9,703$6,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,193.42 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…68d1backed Yes | 36c | 8,272$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,261.89 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 42c | 8,136$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 24c | 7,586$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,772.27 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…f422backed Yes | 25c | 7,395$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,538.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 9c | 7,196$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,548.36 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9a72backed No | 58c | 7,156$4,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 26c | 7,025$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.4 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 21c | 6,874$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.62 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 29c | 6,780$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.01 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…0f22backed Yes | 40c | 6,678$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…f2f3backed Yes | 37c | 6,625$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…806ebacked Yes | 35c | 6,616$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,307.63 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…b09bbacked Yes | 55c | 6,613$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 8c | 6,480$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,982.56 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceeb…749dbacked No | 16c | 6,360$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 17c | 5,960$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.54 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…f1eabacked No | 17c | 5,882$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 12c | 5,856$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 62c | 5,845$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.58 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc95a…aee7backed No | 60c | 5,826$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked No | 50c | 5,420$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.44 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac8…fc51backed Yes | 25c | 5,345$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed Yes | 44c | 5,186$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 79c | 5,143$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cc…e5fbbacked No | 43c | 5,128$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 76c | 5,025$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed No | 59c | 5,010$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.37 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 10c | 4,982$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.25 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 25c | 4,930$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.62 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…9585backed Yes | 14c | 4,800$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…1ebcbacked Yes | 71c | 4,724$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…473cbacked Yes | 30c | 4,608$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.67 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5d…1bb6backed Yes | 15c | 4,467$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +232.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e3…3327backed Yes | 43c | 4,337$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 71c | 4,300$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 67c | 4,100$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.42 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed No | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 79c | 3,987$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.73 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -11.2wins | -0.35per pick | 72cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0c…1e5dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,804$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked No | 72c | 3,727$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.52 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 33c | 3,475$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.37per pick | 36cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…05aabacked Yes | 15c | 3,400$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x950e…3a2cbacked Yes | 39c | 3,370$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…6b84backed No | 21c | 3,331$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…4a9cbacked Yes | 36c | 3,279$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed Yes | 78c | 3,254$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…d6aabacked Yes | 45c | 3,202$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Yes | 24c | 3,100$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.06 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…abd7backed Yes | 19c | 3,031$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…56a3backed No | 66c | 3,008$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…ab27backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…1dc2backed Yes | 23c | 2,985$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…c4a4backed Yes | 23c | 2,866$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…acacbacked Yes | 41c | 2,865$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…a499backed Yes | 52c | 2,651$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4768backed Yes | 34c | 2,638$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…8d0cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,600$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.