Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7a6eebc3e8f20d4605554e1748ef1e0a28fc5207a1e83f8be7bd456afc518b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,803,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,528,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,803,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5323…bb93backed Yes | 1c | 109,954$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 104,498$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.98 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…d709backed Yes | 1c | 59,011$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…a75cbacked Yes | 1c | 52,300$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.1 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…f927backed Yes | 3c | 47,611$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Yes | 2c | 45,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 33,881$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…8bf7backed Yes | 2c | 33,124$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 32,779$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.09 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…8b47backed Yes | 1c | 30,850$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 30,472$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…4421backed Yes | 0c | 26,983$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 24,272$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 1c | 23,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 1c | 18,155$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,841$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 16,874$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…7017backed Yes | 2c | 16,753$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 14,557$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 2c | 12,986$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.45 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…be75backed Yes | 1c | 12,174$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 11,131$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…e48dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,583$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bc0backed Yes | 2c | 10,432$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Yes | 2c | 10,107$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.38 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…8a1dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9485…0cd0backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…bcdcbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d92…0748backed Yes | 1c | 9,779$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…cd66backed Yes | 2c | 9,031$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146b…203bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,266$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bc…7b61backed Yes | 1c | 7,928$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…08ebbacked Yes | 3c | 7,449$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3065…1c02backed Yes | 1c | 7,286$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…7eb4backed Yes | 2c | 6,474$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecd…d2e3backed Yes | 1c | 6,406$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…0b3bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,404$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…6c6ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,388$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…e4cebacked Yes | 2c | 6,097$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes | 0c | 6,050$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa269…ddc9backed Yes | 1c | 5,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…50d6backed Yes | 0c | 5,190$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…f3c5backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,841$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,094$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5a13…e0f9backed Yes | 1c | 3,994$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…6ea7backed Yes | 0c | 3,940$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…afa0backed Yes | 2c | 3,840$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…1201backed Yes | 1c | 3,375$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…197abacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce8…2043backed Yes | 2c | 3,302$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…4159backed Yes | 1c | 3,250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…74cfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ea…d32ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26aa…567cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,923$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125b…e22bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,883$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…d762backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…6f14backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…695abacked Yes | 1c | 2,692$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…fa8bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,510$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…836abacked Yes | 1c | 2,214$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb217…ab1dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,184$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…8a73backed Yes | 1c | 2,083$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf367…40febacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…797cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,948$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…4940backed Yes | 1c | 1,875$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5716…bf0bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,759$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…be7cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…ce88backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…7c94backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…70dabacked Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…4902backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…8729backed Yes | 2c | 1,176$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 1c | 1,149$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…7b2dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,121$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a0…5818backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 1c | 1,062$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…6a49backed Yes | 2c | 1,060$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6e…9f41backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…518fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…c8dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…b194backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,041$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd01…4148backed Yes | 2c | 1,019$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…ed22backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…8e93backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…58c7backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…9497backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571d…c0f2backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc706…da0dbacked Yes | 2c | 914.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…ceb2backed Yes | 1c | 895.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437d…6c11backed Yes | 3c | 769.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04de…6835backed Yes | 2c | 757.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8042…82a7backed Yes | 2c | 733.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f6…1698backed Yes | 2c | 640.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.