TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2072…1201

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-64.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$36.72
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$37.4
Will Sam Darnold win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trey Hendrickson win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chris Jones win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Caleb Williams win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Sean McDermott win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Josh Allen win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Garrett Wilson be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Jordan Love be the top Fantasy Quarterback?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC Westbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will the Packers win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-51.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.