TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,412,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$415,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,412,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c50,074$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.151769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes0c49,934$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.62185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-82.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c48,903$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.541014%4 W · 97 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-87.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b55…cde3backed Yes1c24,516$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…42b0backed Yes0c16,333$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c11,478$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.32430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce62…687abacked Yes0c11,250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0b…28c4backed Yes0c10,908$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37fa…97e5backed Yes0c10,052$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b8…7b25backed Yes0c9,111$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf320…d20fbacked Yes1c8,893$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6532…b7f5backed Yes0c7,262$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f6…bc3cbacked Yes0c6,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc00d…9084backed Yes1c6,418$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb49b…b207backed Yes1c6,367$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes5c5,861$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5124738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb470…8f7bbacked Yes1c5,714$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf568…5538backed Yes1c5,711$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe858…0280backed Yes1c5,710$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b0…889abacked Yes1c5,707$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd08…5372backed Yes1c5,707$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6dd…01b1backed Yes1c5,704$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a5d…666dbacked Yes1c5,704$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae0…eba6backed Yes1c5,704$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe00…a4b5backed Yes1c5,702$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6231…9880backed Yes1c5,702$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x493b…1af7backed Yes1c5,702$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab01…8ff5backed Yes1c5,700$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab87…eac3backed Yes1c5,697$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7d…26a4backed Yes1c5,695$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ca…0a32backed Yes1c5,695$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b53…648cbacked Yes1c5,694$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…7365backed Yes1c5,688$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06da…893fbacked Yes1c5,688$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe748…18cbbacked Yes1c5,688$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307f…fa84backed Yes1c5,687$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4090…8badbacked Yes1c5,687$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e8…b13ebacked Yes1c5,685$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba2b…4e95backed Yes1c5,685$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01e…d357backed Yes1c5,680$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18d…3b38backed Yes1c5,680$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb88…f19fbacked Yes1c5,678$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc419…7c87backed Yes1c5,678$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9571…ec44backed Yes1c5,677$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a8…9ea5backed Yes1c5,677$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fb…0ed9backed Yes1c5,675$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a0…74bbbacked Yes1c5,674$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50dc…c407backed Yes1c5,672$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f5…5b41backed Yes1c5,668$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8db3…f486backed Yes1c5,665$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8642…abbfbacked Yes1c5,661$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf628…b305backed Yes1c5,654$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa256…b42fbacked Yes1c5,654$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362b…10babacked Yes1c5,652$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc10f…71c9backed Yes1c5,652$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af0…cc03backed Yes1c5,652$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed51…9a8dbacked Yes1c5,648$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cae…aa37backed Yes1c5,647$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a15…1651backed Yes1c5,645$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2c…8e92backed Yes1c5,645$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2a…cbb7backed Yes1c5,642$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7931…a152backed Yes1c5,637$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed5…0bacbacked Yes1c5,634$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd94c…f049backed Yes1c5,627$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b20…b58abacked Yes1c5,627$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272e…c835backed Yes1c5,625$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e9e…ee80backed Yes1c5,625$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…95e0backed Yes1c5,625$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36f…e468backed Yes1c5,624$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…a21ebacked Yes1c5,622$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0969…5ef3backed Yes1c5,622$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x194b…42acbacked Yes1c5,620$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad75…9a3abacked Yes1c5,620$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c95…2cb4backed Yes1c5,620$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a5d…e76ebacked Yes1c5,618$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab24…26a6backed Yes1c5,618$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d3e…8964backed Yes1c5,612$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x513e…3f0abacked Yes1c5,612$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4eb…3ee3backed Yes1c5,612$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1e…fd9ebacked Yes1c5,611$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6204…6f9fbacked Yes1c5,611$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d8…e100backed Yes1c5,607$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7635…95a9backed Yes1c5,605$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0377…8524backed Yes1c5,604$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d7…4adebacked Yes1c5,602$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…0817backed Yes1c5,602$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9c…7cccbacked Yes1c5,602$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef87…8d03backed Yes1c5,601$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4553…41d6backed Yes1c5,598$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e76…2496backed Yes1c5,597$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…1b76backed Yes1c5,594$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf698…e392backed Yes1c5,594$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e5…9436backed Yes1c5,592$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e13…26e3backed Yes1c5,591$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd50d…dc86backed Yes1c5,591$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6def…e0febacked Yes1c5,590$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d86…63b7backed Yes1c5,581$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f3…b6d2backed Yes1c5,580$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f87…9999backed Yes1c5,578$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d88…e43dbacked Yes1c5,578$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.