TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Drake Maye win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,477,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$923,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,477,473 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb43a…0891backed Yes0c119,577$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x706b…a194backed Yes0c117,268$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23a3…ad26backed Yes0c116,784$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd498…9a27backed Yes0c116,342$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.6830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x895a…b7efbacked Yes0c116,210$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b60…683dbacked Yes0c115,409$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e9…098fbacked Yes0c113,566$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9441…a628backed Yes0c111,685$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374e…bbb2backed Yes0c109,039$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x909b…6246backed Yes0c106,735$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab08…927fbacked Yes0c104,869$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1406…7adabacked Yes0c104,027$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9871…1b77backed Yes0c103,985$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ae…327bbacked Yes0c103,027$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e3b…0d68backed Yes0c102,226$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa480…1a1ebacked Yes0c100,807$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16f…afb7backed Yes0c100,521$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73cd…829bbacked Yes0c99,301$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113b…2dd9backed Yes0c98,990$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc762…ebc2backed Yes0c98,746$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92d…2a64backed Yes0c97,926$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa43e…c544backed Yes0c97,615$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f75…41f7backed Yes0c97,328$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cd…6cbdbacked Yes0c97,124$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe647…41edbacked Yes0c96,640$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46f…ef8cbacked Yes0c96,567$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x720d…5b49backed Yes0c95,569$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…d0d3backed Yes0c94,708$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbb…9867backed Yes0c94,578$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc7…cbafbacked Yes0c94,463$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb6…1505backed Yes0c93,734$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d4…098bbacked Yes0c93,128$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f6…5faabacked Yes0c93,088$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f8…2692backed Yes0c92,889$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ecf…db25backed Yes0c92,489$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c2…a1c5backed Yes0c92,399$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1e…cf8fbacked Yes0c92,202$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c84…b90ebacked Yes0c92,113$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b77…7678backed Yes0c92,070$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9518…839cbacked Yes0c91,817$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…a629backed Yes0c91,597$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ff…c04fbacked Yes0c91,507$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68c…2550backed Yes0c91,358$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d32…43a5backed Yes0c91,244$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7375…d56ebacked Yes0c89,983$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1da4…2b7cbacked Yes0c89,894$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb1…78e6backed Yes0c89,248$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe607…df65backed Yes0c89,139$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d5…3485backed Yes0c89,091$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282a…7a3dbacked Yes0c89,050$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0230…f2c9backed Yes0c88,295$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x194d…8a8dbacked Yes0c88,206$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb887…2879backed Yes0c87,962$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ea…8306backed Yes0c87,805$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb660…021fbacked Yes0c87,405$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e9…c580backed Yes0c87,171$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…6573backed Yes0c87,171$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a35…4afebacked Yes0c87,118$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x121b…9d7dbacked Yes0c86,430$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…0e2fbacked Yes0c86,275$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…d89dbacked Yes0c85,586$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d14…5c0fbacked Yes0c85,144$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1faf…8df8backed Yes0c85,144$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x038a…03f2backed Yes0c84,857$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe245…a990backed Yes0c84,007$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f1…2671backed Yes0c83,784$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa125…f451backed Yes0c83,613$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc185…2feabacked Yes0c82,835$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32fa…dda7backed Yes0c82,835$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8932…6fd7backed Yes0c82,553$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e0c…710bbacked Yes0c82,553$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ff…7ff4backed Yes0c82,189$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36af…e14ebacked Yes0c82,122$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedfa…a421backed Yes0c81,992$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8118…147abacked Yes0c81,950$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…7c39backed Yes0c81,950$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…ccc4backed Yes0c81,393$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…0116backed Yes0c80,549$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a4…76eabacked Yes0c80,347$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9627…ad31backed Yes0c80,305$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…ef93backed Yes0c79,928$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18cc…5a80backed Yes0c79,773$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf255…d20abacked Yes0c79,216$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd187…bb6bbacked Yes0c79,085$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec6…57f8backed Yes0c78,731$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b5…6fa4backed Yes0c78,498$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda6…72bfbacked Yes0c78,217$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d0…c1cebacked Yes0c77,936$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cda…efccbacked Yes0c77,841$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e1…738bbacked Yes0c77,554$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebe…0202backed Yes0c77,356$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b88…e20bbacked Yes0c77,092$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45ed…d355backed Yes0c76,022$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3b…d8dcbacked Yes0c75,622$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5061…54ccbacked Yes0c75,424$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfd…8870backed Yes0c75,310$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9da…7a2bbacked Yes0c75,293$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc48e…9a98backed Yes0c75,204$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3d…08bcbacked Yes0c73,960$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…5e64backed Yes0c73,881$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.