TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Marvin Harrison Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,279,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,279,556 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xded6…9abcbacked Yes0c651,401$1,498 inLost-$1,497.9640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c117,165$201 inLost-$200.711014%4 W · 97 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-87.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c75,000$75 inLost-$751769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Yes0c57,422$120 inLost-$120.1940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c54,933$77 inLost-$77.482430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce62…687abacked Yes0c42,899$101 inLost-$10130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c35,000$35 inLost-$351061.9%2 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick1cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd6…e4d5backed Yes0c30,214$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes0c28,908$37 inLost-$36.8241540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839c…47d8backed Yes1c22,420$125 inLost-$12530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes0c15,000$30 inLost-$30128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-79.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b0…3f9ebacked Yes0c13,867$28 inLost-$27.7350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc1…ad6cbacked Yes0c13,500$27 inLost-$2740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d85…8393backed Yes0c13,000$15 inLost-$1580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c10,484$31 inLost-$31.456541.5%27 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20c3…0d1bbacked Yes0c10,307$27 inLost-$26.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d49…17d2backed Yes0c9,165$18 inLost-$18.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c51…8016backed Yes0c4,073$12 inLost-$12.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a5…219bbacked Yes0c3,470$10 inLost-$10.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes1c2,011$11 inLost-$10.74508%4 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-68.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes2c1,853$41 inLost-$41.1552828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f05…455fbacked Yes5c1,520$75 inLost-$752835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca9d…07f7backed Yes19c526.58$100 inLost-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes4c385.37$15 inLost-$15.4120440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$1014139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e2…d2f3backed Yes20c50$10 inLost-$102458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.