NFL · resolved market
Will Malik Nabers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef6e7bc0d825d922943135eeaf9992dfa52e8ecc9d02ed1bf5feb9cf762d09d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,750,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,072,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,750,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 81,624$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,245$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 46,714$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…c6c0backed Yes | 0c | 28,041$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,743$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…7a3dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,967$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…865fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,921$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839c…47d8backed Yes | 0c | 12,780$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a7…d9f9backed Yes | 0c | 12,119$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…48a4backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 10,978$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…cbafbacked Yes | 0c | 10,970$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…ccc4backed Yes | 0c | 10,133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 0c | 10,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…839cbacked Yes | 0c | 9,668$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…da56backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194d…8a8dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,831$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…147abacked Yes | 0c | 8,366$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebe…0202backed Yes | 0c | 8,366$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895a…b7efbacked Yes | 0c | 7,902$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…1591backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…1470backed Yes | 0c | 7,195$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…04e0backed Yes | 0c | 7,064$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…3b09backed Yes | 0c | 7,064$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…bbd7backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…41edbacked Yes | 0c | 6,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…afb7backed Yes | 0c | 6,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038a…03f2backed Yes | 0c | 6,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb887…2879backed Yes | 0c | 6,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f6…5faabacked Yes | 0c | 6,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9441…a628backed Yes | 0c | 6,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…fe8fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4356…b0a5backed Yes | 0c | 6,148$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…be15backed Yes | 0c | 6,143$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…57f8backed Yes | 0c | 6,136$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d0d3backed Yes | 0c | 6,136$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe607…df65backed Yes | 0c | 6,136$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7375…d56ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,136$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…b5f6backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…b7d4backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…7f69backed Yes | 0c | 5,672$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaea…06cebacked Yes | 0c | 5,667$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…1a53backed Yes | 0c | 5,667$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…0c90backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e1…9d81backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…829bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,298$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…9a98backed Yes | 0c | 5,298$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfd…8870backed Yes | 0c | 5,298$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…d20abacked Yes | 0c | 5,298$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…8306backed Yes | 0c | 5,298$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d19…68dfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,298$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a65…6ab0backed Yes | 0c | 5,233$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc73…4bd7backed Yes | 0c | 5,172$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda7c…e62fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…022bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…3056backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b98abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…0eaebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…092bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…1488backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…242dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,867$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab97…956ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,667$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e05…6e60backed Yes | 0c | 4,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…7de7backed Yes | 0c | 4,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…3c4ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…3603backed Yes | 0c | 4,267$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9761…1917backed Yes | 0c | 4,167$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…566cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…455fbacked Yes | 3c | 921.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 878.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…ab22backed Yes | 4c | 227.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 28c | 224.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 6c | 204.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 14c | 125.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Yes | 25c | 73.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 16.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malik Nabers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?this page
- Will Bo Nix win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Drake Maye win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?Yes won
- Will Marvin Harrison Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Xavier Worthy win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will another player win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.