NFL · resolved market
Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac37a835a2d76685150f88fba259a6e493bacd4559213693d8a96a6dadd2115d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $569,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $472,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 0c | 22,222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 1c | 14,599$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked No | 2c | 9,945$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked No | 0c | 6,490$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes | 74c | 6,261$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 22c | 4,167$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.74 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 79c | 3,634$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.2 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 3c | 3,318$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 18c | 2,825$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 3c | 1,678$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 2c | 1,331$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 4c | 1,298$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…147dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,199$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.18 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 4c | 1,112$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…f434backed No | 3c | 1,107$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 77c | 1,097$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.32 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 61c | 956.29$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.94 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 34c | 880.79$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea0…c55ebacked No | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 2c | 749$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 61c | 747.56$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.64 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 66c | 732.39$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.48 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca9d…07f7backed Yes | 66c | 703.81$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 602.72$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 68c | 600.79$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.52 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed No | 3c | 531.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 5c | 530.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Yes | 37c | 524.1$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.62 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 67c | 508.38$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d85…8393backed No | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 25c | 441.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…8839backed Yes | 74c | 402$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 25c | 395.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Yes | 67c | 365$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…b1f0backed No | 4c | 328$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b3…dde6backed Yes | 60c | 283.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…a521backed No | 4c | 276$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…83bbbacked Yes | 74c | 265.51$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…5641backed No | 5c | 236.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…20ebbacked Yes | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…faeebacked Yes | 63c | 210.39$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…28e5backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e653backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 66c | 190$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Yes | 43c | 185.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 68c | 184.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 58c | 180.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…3238backed Yes | 73c | 180$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 64c | 179.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e4…d34fbacked No | 34c | 175.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…37adbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 67c | 149.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 32c | 132.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 52c | 124.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed Yes | 75c | 121.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…7ee1backed Yes | 35c | 117.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 65c | 106.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 19c | 106.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…455fbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…486ebacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb750…984cbacked No | 17c | 92.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed No | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…f1a9backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…0bbabacked Yes | 78c | 83.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 29c | 82.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Yes | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…1db3backed No | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…4f56backed Yes | 67c | 74.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d709backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7b…a32fbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…554fbacked Yes | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e66…040cbacked No | 64c | 59.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b45…d8b7backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…5629backed No | 33c | 49.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…b22abacked Yes | 67c | 45.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…f00abacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…54ebbacked Yes | 69c | 41.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Yes | 40c | 40.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 66c | 39.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…ede8backed Yes | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…ce32backed No | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…9e4cbacked Yes | 69c | 39.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…f704backed Yes | 73c | 39.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…5a91backed No | 28c | 38.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…1ebdbacked Yes | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…e2f0backed No | 45c | 36.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbf…5531backed Yes | 69c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…8316backed Yes | 69c | 34.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…1becbacked Yes | 76c | 34.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…e75abacked Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189a…0fbfbacked Yes | 69c | 33.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes | 69c | 32.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?this page
- Will Bo Nix win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Drake Maye win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Malik Nabers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Marvin Harrison Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Xavier Worthy win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will another player win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.