NBA · resolved market
Will Alperen Sengun lead the NBA in Rebounds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac95fe55d6fb6ca52c4d8e05e17b83c747b7aa24cfaeb0cce473d52d1d142622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $525,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 13,998$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,391$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…5d26backed Yes | 0c | 3,765$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…1a66backed Yes | 4c | 2,118$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…1201backed Yes | 1c | 2,081$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…f086backed Yes | 4c | 1,092$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 4c | 1,032$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6f…dda9backed Yes | 4c | 945.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…4742backed Yes | 4c | 942.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea6…8729backed Yes | 4c | 913.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…b867backed Yes | 4c | 907$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…db77backed Yes | 4c | 875.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Yes | 4c | 852.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…7019backed Yes | 4c | 724$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7030…4f04backed Yes | 4c | 706.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…7feabacked Yes | 4c | 705$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…5316backed Yes | 4c | 692.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…60f9backed Yes | 4c | 680$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…c80bbacked Yes | 4c | 673.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…23f2backed Yes | 3c | 577.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…aa55backed Yes | 4c | 563$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…3e0cbacked Yes | 4c | 510$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…22fabacked Yes | 4c | 481.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50da…ba13backed Yes | 4c | 480.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2152…2a3cbacked Yes | 4c | 423$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 415$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6cd0backed Yes | 3c | 408$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…e40dbacked Yes | 4c | 401.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb8…1544backed Yes | 3c | 399$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…db84backed Yes | 3c | 394.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3827…abc9backed Yes | 4c | 361.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…d386backed Yes | 4c | 352$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…b6fdbacked Yes | 4c | 347$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 4c | 326.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9457backed Yes | 4c | 321$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba2…0117backed Yes | 4c | 304$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alperen Sengun lead the NBA in Rebounds?this page
- Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Anthony Davis lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Bam Adebayo lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Clint Capela lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Deandre Ayton lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Evan Mobley lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Jalen Duren lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Jarrett Allen lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Jusuf Nurkic lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Nicolas Claxton lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Nikola Vucevic lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will another player lead the NBA in Rebounds?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.