TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in Rebounds?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$570,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$490,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $570,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c20,643$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.291978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c3,277$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.472130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea6…8729backed Yes2c2,124$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28c…1677backed Yes2c2,090$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.860%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cc…00a7backed Yes2c2,055$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0260%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa394…4742backed Yes2c1,951$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5d…21cbbacked Yes2c1,917$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes2c1,874$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0377437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb44…967fbacked Yes2c1,791$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb1c…0b6ebacked Yes1c1,637$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.560%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9250…fd1fbacked Yes2c1,563$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x610f…1173backed Yes1c1,504$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2c…ef10backed Yes1c1,496$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.240%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…0e37backed Yes2c1,469$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…1a66backed Yes2c1,452$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0340%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes1c1,408$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.74586.9%4 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372a…22d9backed Yes1c1,403$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0a…6374backed Yes2c1,391$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ba…ccdabacked Yes2c1,374$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6350%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…e40dbacked Yes1c1,369$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e5d…58e7backed Yes2c1,361$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…bf70backed Yes6c1,355$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.321618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9965…3e0cbacked Yes2c1,345$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ec…c80bbacked Yes2c1,339$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4e…9203backed Yes2c1,319$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd76…24d3backed Yes2c1,304$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0240%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3827…abc9backed Yes2c1,288$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0530…f1cabacked Yes1c1,268$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.750%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2c…b6fdbacked Yes2c1,245$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a6…d72fbacked Yes1c1,241$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7360%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x646b…25dabacked Yes2c1,211$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.890%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd464…db84backed Yes2c1,170$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a1…bdebbacked Yes1c1,146$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9450%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f9…03b4backed Yes1c1,136$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.47520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-73.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0822…5f0fbacked Yes1c1,084$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a0…9e23backed Yes2c1,056$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-78.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20fe…4f9fbacked Yes2c989$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7030…4f04backed Yes1c980$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e4…f086backed Yes1c979$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d7…6837backed Yes2c975.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5060…7feabacked Yes1c941.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ad…0211backed Yes2c919$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2152…2a3cbacked Yes2c898$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes7c876.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.366113.1%8 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes1c875.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85d…46d2backed Yes1c866$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.84520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-75%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…a5a4backed Yes2c865$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22fc…1fa7backed Yes2c862$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0235…353abacked Yes2c851$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.19425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-67.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x592e…7019backed Yes2c841$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8450%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cd…1b42backed Yes1c804$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa428…d386backed Yes1c803$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6f…dda9backed Yes1c765.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c6…89efbacked Yes1c759$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-81.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ab…8b23backed Yes2c755$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-44.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…22fabacked Yes2c745$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5750%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e6…3785backed Yes2c719.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50da…ba13backed Yes2c686$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee35…9549backed Yes2c681$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb8…0d48backed Yes2c547$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3317…f199backed Yes3c525.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.