TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in Rebounds?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$659,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$350,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes6c8,845$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.111,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8109…808cbacked Yes14c4,306$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.2480%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdf…66bdbacked Yes14c4,296$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.11616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96db…8a6dbacked Yes16c3,759$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.7460%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48c4…8d95backed Yes14c3,222$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.2550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x646b…25dabacked Yes15c2,685$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.2390%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4769…21a2backed Yes15c2,685$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.47616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe43b…1d42backed Yes14c2,685$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.7616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ba…d8d0backed Yes13c2,430$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2870%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25cd…a5c3backed Yes14c2,148$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.55520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddcd…3d8ebacked Yes11c2,148$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.58616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b5…6900backed Yes15c2,148$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1576…a1e3backed Yes9c1,716$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.16333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-56.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…a64ebacked Yes14c1,671$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4650%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5745…ac0abacked Yes15c1,651$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc1…7ae6backed Yes14c1,621$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3240%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c1…8ad5backed Yes17c1,611$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.19425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d6d…9514backed Yes13c1,611$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f20…f721backed Yes5c1,287$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.21520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-73.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xded2…a91ebacked Yes9c1,287$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.11425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8286…9863backed Yes6c1,287$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1416…ba08backed Yes8c1,287$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.53520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-72.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes13c1,282$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.74586.9%4 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc817…3f2cbacked Yes11c1,253$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.02520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c1,221$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.132130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc983…014abacked Yes14c1,215$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.04812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-60.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…66e4backed Yes11c1,204$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes11c1,190$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.466113.1%8 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e9…69b0backed Yes14c1,113$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.13812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-41%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…44dbbacked Yes12c1,094$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb741…15e4backed Yes12c1,094$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.45520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6145…3d17backed Yes13c1,084$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x240c…9194backed Yes16c1,074$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.23714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445a…218dbacked Yes12c1,074$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbc8…f325backed Yes18c1,074$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9360%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae2…8e64backed Yes17c1,074$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8850%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a1…bdebbacked Yes14c1,074$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes13c1,058$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.566113.1%8 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x959d…fd6abacked Yes11c1,052$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.72812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f26…b462backed Yes17c972$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.73812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7722…ee4bbacked Yes7c965.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.382334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c7b…c7b2backed Yes12c911$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.79540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85f…88eebacked Yes13c890$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.39616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x687e…991abacked Yes9c870$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e7…390abacked Yes9c858$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.79100%0 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e62…3d5fbacked Yes2c858$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.02520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9950…f373backed Yes9c858$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.36714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-81%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a21…fa30backed Yes8c837$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.150%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes5c815.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.781,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2157…d142backed Yes7c789$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.07333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+50.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44e3…9ca2backed Yes13c789$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.73520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ff…c194backed Yes10c779$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.57616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd9…0460backed Yes11c777$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…a329backed Yes13c769$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.02520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec4…5ad2backed Yes13c738$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-80.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0354…350bbacked Yes13c729$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.37425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fd…29f0backed Yes14c729$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f0…94f3backed Yes15c729$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.62812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ef…4c0fbacked Yes14c729$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.28714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc7…f56cbacked Yes17c729$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.12714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes4c719.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3715316.3%25 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8295…1d84backed Yes7c685$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.78812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-40.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf394…00b2backed Yes4c676$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2170%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes5c636.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4677437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Yes3c626.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61d9…c835backed Yes15c618$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3360%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ab…b9edbacked Yes11c608$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes9c566.88$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.975230.8%16 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…e87dbacked Yes13c557$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6c…f390backed Yes16c547$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe30c…846cbacked Yes9c537$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8750%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5517…f587backed Yes12c537$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.76616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7151…1a33backed Yes20c537$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.86714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8546…a37fbacked Yes10c526$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.23616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-77.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8e…2e25backed Yes11c526$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6e…2ee1backed Yes11c526$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8150%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1de…e7f1backed Yes5c526$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47df…58c4backed Yes9c526$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.87520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x439f…cc46backed Yes13c524$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3460%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…c06ebacked Yes14c496$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.24911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2890…b4c8backed Yes14c496$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4550%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes10c493.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4215724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d9…fb3dbacked Yes14c486$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.72616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4d…1958backed Yes11c486$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6570%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8880…5514backed Yes12c486$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.26520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x560e…cc15backed Yes18c486$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.99650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee6c…f56bbacked Yes11c486$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.65540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d91…e3b7backed Yes10c486$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.09540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff5b…3782backed Yes11c486$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.22540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6c…5406backed Yes11c485$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0950%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7362…c89cbacked Yes12c485$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.04540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f3…50e0backed Yes14c474$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.41714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9838…bab7backed Yes16c474$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.18520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e2…a4f7backed Yes10c456$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.45714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes5c447.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.74397.7%3 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes15c435.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1913743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Yes11c432.65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.755628.6%16 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+62.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0235…353abacked Yes5c429$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-67.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eda…ac99backed Yes16c429$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.