TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf020…a576backed Yes1c6,488$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6115724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes24c5,059$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.281,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No75c3,200$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8008350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes44c2,244$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.22433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Yes16c1,971$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3078937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes9c1,884$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8615316.3%25 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x111f…af00backed Yes67c1,624$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0802128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c77…bde7backed Yes30c1,554$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.265969.5%41 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes40c1,334$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.819838.9%77 W · 121 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes70c1,239$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.21478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x318c…bc21backed Yes41c1,230$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes2c996.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8911654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x609b…c208backed Yes2c640.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e27…0ee1backed Yes32c636.31$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.547343.8%32 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…a321backed Yes25c591.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes11c500$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes3c457.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6713240.2%53 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes10c429.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5523438.9%91 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes40c417.38$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5518246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed Yes11c360.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.334221.4%9 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes15c358.35$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.876113.1%8 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c355.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.621,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes20c350$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes13c343.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.71385.3%2 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-88.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes14c342.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9534246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes8c340.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3517326.6%46 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes22c327.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes31c318.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010345.6%47 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes67c315.7$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes24c303.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8135049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502532%8 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes21c266.92$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.136113.1%8 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d3…3f3cbacked Yes30c266.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa88c…b990backed Yes20c255.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.461717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes17c255$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.28539.4%5 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick12cpaid+11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked No11c250.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7115638.5%60 W · 96 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes27c234.35$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4610243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaec…65afbacked Yes53c229$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9489…f8a4backed No47c229$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c9…ed89backed Yes53c227$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95b…f5a4backed No47c227$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a8…368abacked Yes53c225$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d18…84c7backed No47c225$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe43…ea5cbacked Yes53c224$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2673…5b78backed No47c224$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e6…4909backed Yes38c224$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6f…c45bbacked No47c222$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68c…26cebacked Yes53c222$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes10c220.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96f…9e36backed Yes23c218.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa911…6974backed Yes27c218$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7457…5670backed Yes27c218$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da2…c85ebacked Yes40c218$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0881…7064backed Yes25c218$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes28c211.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.388324.1%20 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bff…6e4bbacked Yes29c209$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes57c200$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11522939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Yes22c199.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe54b…8427backed Yes50c199.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480f…0905backed Yes24c199.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked No16c187.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.62397.7%3 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b0…867ebacked Yes40c186.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-78%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc838…1288backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes62c185.04$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.275230.8%16 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb813…38c5backed Yes34c183$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb02c…5c90backed Yes36c182$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes11c176.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.86026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36ab…2f04backed Yes30c166.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f86…54d6backed No77c162.4$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+75%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e1…d03ebacked No71c161$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4923…c597backed Yes34c161$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffb5…e59ebacked Yes41c161$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5e…2c5dbacked Yes9c160$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-67.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes20c158.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5440448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes22c152.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.039516.8%16 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04e8…7c1abacked Yes35c152$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e8b…9be4backed Yes27c152$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd214…e7a0backed Yes17c151.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.464045%18 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7eb4…ff62backed Yes42c150$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.53073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9380…167bbacked No76c149$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0693…7be4backed Yes24c149$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb175…2fedbacked Yes41c149$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4eb…9160backed Yes34c149$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7722…ee4bbacked Yes22c147.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.532334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…ffe0backed Yes25c147$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7560%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a0…dbf0backed Yes29c147$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde3a…9e59backed No75c147$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7154…321abacked Yes41c147$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…02b9backed No76c147$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3f…1dd9backed Yes10c146$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda1c…0524backed Yes27c144$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bf…c797backed Yes27c144$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477e…7063backed No76c144$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6059…fb7dbacked Yes40c144$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98be…bde5backed Yes41c144$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10c6…63dbbacked Yes38c144$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc93d…b1ecbacked Yes38c143$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeac…20f3backed No76c143$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe629…5968backed Yes40c143$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.