NBA · resolved market
Will Nicolas Claxton lead the NBA in Rebounds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf1c5538c4ca4a66107c8af0f87b891da7de74f3ea09875d4c837ff2b922253d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,428,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,390,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,428,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b0…af34backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf1…5a06backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…adfbbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f4…21f0backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…40dbbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686c…b67cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3bafbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 13,156$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…fd58backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…2f47backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f4…e4c7backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad0…5d56backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8722…d953backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…2c54backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…899fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…cb17backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9090…2e3dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…d0fdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9c…528cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…9cb0backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0985…1853backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,307$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…f1bfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…6891backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…28cabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…e884backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…42f1backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd516…5c23backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 7,431$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…1a83backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4185…706cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…abf8backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…b593backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…de40backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…9a72backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b7…452abacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2507…e5fbbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…156cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…98a7backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9472…ea98backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…df29backed Yes | 0c | 4,284$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…d541backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe064…cd51backed Yes | 1c | 2,732$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,147$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nicolas Claxton lead the NBA in Rebounds?this page
- Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Alperen Sengun lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Anthony Davis lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Bam Adebayo lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Clint Capela lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Deandre Ayton lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Evan Mobley lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Jalen Duren lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Jarrett Allen lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Jusuf Nurkic lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Nikola Vucevic lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in Rebounds?No won
- Will another player lead the NBA in Rebounds?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.