NFL · resolved market
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd00a85533ae7178ba291e844789a74dc0d2d31ca93159fe10341ceece98df61e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 27c | 6,712$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 73c | 6,197$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,524.51 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked No | 74c | 4,178$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.72 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,570$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Yes | 10c | 3,273$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.71 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,061$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.09 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Yes | 57c | 2,073$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 69c | 2,064$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.89 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…7db3backed Yes | 25c | 2,008$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,816$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.25 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.05 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 25c | 1,300$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 78c | 893$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.37 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 75c | 887.02$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.36 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Yes | 27c | 777$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.21 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes | 58c | 750$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 17c | 749.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.13 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 21c | 743.2$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.83 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 75c | 654.31$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.73 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…047fbacked Yes | 25c | 600$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Yes | 54c | 510.27$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.27 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 39c | 500$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.48 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…40bfbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 64c | 478.91$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 18c | 434.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.26 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 15c | 415.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 337.87$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.8 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 64c | 305.93$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…34f1backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…2eaebacked Yes | 29c | 294.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…7e45backed Yes | 73c | 276.73$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 12c | 255.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 71c | 236.88$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 25c | 236.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5951…74a6backed No | 42c | 229$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 39c | 225$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 25c | 223.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked Yes | 77c | 213.53$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5595…12a8backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…460fbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…ee01backed No | 45c | 181$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09c…8735backed No | 42c | 177$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…886ebacked No | 42c | 173$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…c7a8backed Yes | 59c | 170.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…a775backed No | 42c | 165$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 26c | 162.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf959…f265backed Yes | 80c | 159.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 8c | 158.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…d592backed No | 42c | 147$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…2a95backed No | 43c | 137$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…bf67backed No | 43c | 135$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 75c | 134.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…3b71backed No | 40c | 126$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…44cbbacked No | 42c | 124$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…c1f4backed Yes | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes | 18c | 113.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…d2b0backed No | 42c | 113$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 59c | 110.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 110.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…503fbacked Yes | 63c | 100.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…36fabacked No | 45c | 97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ede9backed Yes | 58c | 92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 14c | 90.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 66c | 87.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…e4acbacked No | 43c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…3d66backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…eb09backed Yes | 25c | 79.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…dd66backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ee…a5edbacked No | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…a6f1backed No | 43c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…e7c9backed Yes | 58c | 71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Yes | 46c | 70.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…5072backed No | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…8722backed Yes | 25c | 69.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…58dabacked No | 42c | 69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…6d85backed No | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…9639backed Yes | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f0…1522backed Yes | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27f…57dfbacked Yes | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c68…de73backed Yes | 58c | 64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…bfecbacked No | 45c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…afb9backed Yes | 58c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ac8abacked No | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943d…d3b7backed Yes | 58c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x836e…15e8backed Yes | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?this page
- Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win the AFC South?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win the AFC South?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.