NFL · resolved market
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x622c7d2c72325dc12f9d48e8105a7f6708394f077c8d21e81cd75d610f70ee1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x647d…5ce1backed Yes | 44c | 36,354$15,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,995.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…ae72backed No | 56c | 36,354$20,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,995.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032f…4679backed Yes | 44c | 28,454$12,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,519.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…f296backed No | 56c | 28,454$15,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,519.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,746$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 9c | 4,031$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…a6c8backed Yes | 21c | 2,239$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,233$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6604…8dcfbacked Yes | 45c | 2,137$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 10c | 2,038$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,969$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.51 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed No | 55c | 1,884$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.6 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,852$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.89 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 25c | 1,794$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.46 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 14c | 1,707$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.39 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 38c | 1,667$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.15 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 27c | 1,195$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.73 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 42c | 1,030$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.52 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 41c | 618.37$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.63 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes | 11c | 574.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 32c | 500$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa472…45aebacked No | 55c | 499.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…376ebacked Yes | 15c | 456.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa561…36c9backed Yes | 46c | 439.13$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 61cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 9c | 421.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 41c | 402.45$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 23c | 401$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 17c | 382.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 16c | 377.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 6c | 363$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed No | 55c | 360.19$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.09 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 68c | 346.49$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 4c | 325.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -87%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…a917backed Yes | 13c | 279.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…3af9backed Yes | 32c | 231$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…9ac8backed Yes | 32c | 227$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…34f1backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked Yes | 22c | 213.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 190$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c7…425abacked Yes | 33c | 190$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 46c | 188.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85c…9c19backed Yes | 35c | 187$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…ecf9backed Yes | 34c | 177$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…dd24backed Yes | 33c | 175$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 44c | 167.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 12c | 160.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9789…2cb7backed Yes | 7c | 153.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 16c | 149.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…d88abacked Yes | 31c | 148$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 12c | 144.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e22…d323backed Yes | 13c | 143.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 47c | 142.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 45c | 142.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…c3ffbacked Yes | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…c1f4backed Yes | 30c | 139.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…adccbacked Yes | 32c | 136$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…3897backed Yes | 19c | 122.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a1…895ebacked Yes | 34c | 118$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…f1f0backed Yes | 46c | 113.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf88…39b2backed Yes | 32c | 112$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872f…6c4abacked No | 68c | 112$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…650abacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…ae92backed No | 55c | 107.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 59c | 101.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4758…a092backed Yes | 32c | 101$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…5a9ebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4493…04fabacked Yes | 32c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 45c | 98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…60d9backed Yes | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 13c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa97…1a3ebacked Yes | 33c | 93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…503fbacked Yes | 36c | 92.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7278…230dbacked Yes | 34c | 92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…7e45backed Yes | 44c | 91.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…04ddbacked Yes | 32c | 89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e4…131ebacked Yes | 32c | 88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dc…c0d8backed Yes | 33c | 88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 25c | 87.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…e9a8backed Yes | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 49c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…e5ddbacked Yes | 36c | 84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…c407backed No | 68c | 84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…c690backed Yes | 34c | 82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…f052backed No | 68c | 78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…f0cdbacked Yes | 33c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab5…5b32backed Yes | 34c | 77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 77c | 75.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…0206backed Yes | 33c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…0bacbacked Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0be…5f08backed No | 65c | 74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…b0d1backed No | 68c | 73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?this page
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win the AFC South?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?Yes won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win the AFC South?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.