NFL · resolved market
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f0de9f7ef85003356acb6117d235a4fa45ed5718d2a467ea7015cc92ae68713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 4c | 75,085$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 0c | 3,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Yes | 12c | 3,951$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.57 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 12c | 3,907$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.89 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Yes | 34c | 3,436$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…5638backed Yes | 33c | 2,860$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,600$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.85 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,400$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.4 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 13c | 2,300$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.69 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 32c | 2,263$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.19 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 26c | 2,081$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.17 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 32c | 1,754$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 12c | 1,670$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 11c | 1,470$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 1,394$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 16c | 1,314$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.1 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 11c | 1,021$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…9678backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 11c | 975.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 9c | 954.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 67c | 883$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Yes | 12c | 865.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 27c | 720$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 24c | 603.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…5132backed Yes | 14c | 372.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 11c | 282$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed No | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 276.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 37c | 267.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 59c | 209.83$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 31c | 209.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…1201backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Yes | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Yes | 32c | 154.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…778ebacked Yes | 33c | 154.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +236.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Yes | 17c | 117.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 26c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 34c | 109.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc0…0f20backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +1,059.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4adb…5921backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…a2a3backed No | 71c | 87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…38c5backed Yes | 29c | 82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…2a2abacked Yes | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480f…0905backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…09c6backed No | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…9defbacked Yes | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…a2e0backed Yes | 28c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…98f1backed No | 71c | 73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ff…d5d1backed No | 73c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…41e2backed Yes | 18c | 72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…7576backed Yes | 14c | 71.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…fd64backed Yes | 19c | 68.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…fce1backed Yes | 29c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…759bbacked Yes | 29c | 66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…c37cbacked No | 71c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…47f7backed Yes | 29c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…86e8backed No | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 43c | 59.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf613…b732backed No | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…8ec3backed No | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…fb6bbacked Yes | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…5d4bbacked Yes | 27c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 70c | 57.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…102fbacked No | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…2d8dbacked No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…80d6backed Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…1766backed Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…f630backed Yes | 31c | 54.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a57…c233backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…e031backed Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f75…df23backed Yes | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…0e80backed Yes | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…7e11backed No | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1b…c5f9backed No | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…3de7backed Yes | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…e0d5backed No | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…1f27backed Yes | 29c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad6…9899backed No | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…41abbacked Yes | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…d90abacked Yes | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…5290backed No | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b1…1ac2backed Yes | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…73cdbacked Yes | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…1293backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…f038backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +258.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…fcc2backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c2…51d6backed No | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c96…0e03backed Yes | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…c1d1backed Yes | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef12…300dbacked Yes | 27c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…7910backed Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…0e3abacked No | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e09…848fbacked Yes | 28c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC Westthis page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win the NFC West?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?Yes won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.