TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a14…0762backed Yes26c9,250$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,823.7610239.2%40 W · 62 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf296…5638backed Yes20c8,471$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,745.292360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd8e…d105backed Yes22c4,360$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,397.712825%7 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked No3c3,030$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.763141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes68c3,000$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.0230446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed Yes15c2,870$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.21625%4 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes11c2,635$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.2812022.5%27 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Yes14c2,274$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.115722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes30c2,096$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.822434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf440…2747backed Yes20c2,001$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.082045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Yes17c1,790$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.951030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+89.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…8839backed Yes19c1,565$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.641241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid-10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes24c1,535$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.266540%26 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes55c1,500$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.338459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd44…2a19backed Yes44c1,010$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.647455.4%41 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes14c1,002$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.585628.6%16 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No25c991.55$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8613430.6%41 W · 93 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4948…0b44backed Yes21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.381915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7a…b5f7backed No40c927$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.63742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes21c887$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.732828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes60c810$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.624351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2667241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ba…a286backed Yes13c664.77$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.323627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x249f…4bd4backed Yes17c516.73$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.73633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15b…30f1backed Yes21c511.06$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.515341.5%22 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes28c507.47$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3841540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No24c426.56$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5252828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed No49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.428337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked No27c334.74$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.02454.4%2 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-69.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2855…afffbacked No77c333$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.412347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked No6c221.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12508%4 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-68.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No46c218.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5815332%49 W · 104 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes40c205$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.137939.2%31 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.86832.4%22 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc612…5613backed Yes32c172.33$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.681952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4916259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes7c160$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes79c130$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.123839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes25c129.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6813942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Yes47c126.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8531032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed No49c120.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.677546.7%35 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes20c109.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.671809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No28c104.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2112239.3%48 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc258…d51fbacked Yes63c102$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c17…e799backed No44c102$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6337…ee7cbacked Yes20c100.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+151.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19a…b660backed Yes17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1244.2%1 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.24per pick28cpaid-75.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x12fe…fb89backed No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.83366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb916…8c8bbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+401.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63b8…0d2ebacked Yes62c94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7c…20ecbacked Yes66c94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f3…4201backed Yes63c92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2530…5ea1backed No47c88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb959…f55bbacked No43c86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda17…2f37backed No48c82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1778…e00ebacked No46c76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1839…3381backed No50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5c…9713backed No44c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c7…e5f7backed No44c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb90b…37b3backed No44c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e08…32f0backed No41c76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa751…2d34backed No44c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffe…5449backed No43c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…ccb3backed No50c74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa3…e747backed No37c72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+231.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4916…1d1cbacked Yes63c72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54dc…138abacked No44c67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8999…8c2ebacked No44c65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a5…96e9backed No39c63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe211…ff41backed No37c63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabc0…eef8backed Yes63c63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+187.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02cc…ef6fbacked No46c62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2621…9a4bbacked Yes65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…eb6ebacked Yes58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24560%27 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a85…c4cabacked Yes63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fea…c4dbbacked No43c59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7728…0406backed No44c59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebfb…32d4backed No44c58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f7…5ad1backed No45c58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ac…29b9backed No37c57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ed…e0d5backed Yes63c56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.723100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36cf…d8febacked No46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe230…30c7backed No38c54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce0…7e74backed No45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d1…de54backed No43c53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d0…6fb4backed Yes63c53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61b3…f99cbacked Yes62c52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.663100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d1…3269backed No39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e3…6450backed Yes62c50.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d95…4fe1backed No37c49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df6…8dcbbacked Yes63c49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2866…e8c1backed No42c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27e9…8213backed Yes63c49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c7…38c5backed No42c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9b…b5febacked No37c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8404…2c77backed Yes63c48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf058…47f7backed No45c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd356…a399backed No37c46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-54.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe21…255bbacked No44c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef71…b745backed Yes64c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.