NFL · resolved market
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaff7e6d6e3d1ca42d1d4858cf21a1e5db5e9e0e02f7c8f2b723abb78d58cd759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73ec…cf9abacked No | 60c | 30,207$18,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,082.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…5873backed Yes | 40c | 30,207$12,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,082.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 37c | 27,391$10,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,003.34 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,797$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 63c | 6,020$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.58 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 65c | 6,016$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.58 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 37c | 3,039$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.68 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,084$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.85 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed No | 65c | 1,968$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.34 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,631$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.47 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,391$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 30c | 1,356$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.46 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 39c | 1,250$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Yes | 39c | 1,152$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.67 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…3399backed Yes | 3c | 970$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 36c | 935.56$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.39 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 40c | 767.29$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.92 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 39c | 699.65$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.81 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 72c | 638$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…1cc2backed Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 61c | 509.31$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.14 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 3c | 509$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed No | 54c | 507.86$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.06 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa988…ed6fbacked Yes | 53c | 500$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 57c | 486.99$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.93 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 4c | 451.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…fc6bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 37c | 250$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…0b36backed Yes | 42c | 247$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 19c | 237$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Yes | 9c | 231.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 75c | 220.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 34c | 218.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…e6fdbacked Yes | 46c | 215.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…1081backed Yes | 41c | 210$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…6bc9backed Yes | 48c | 209.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 38c | 201.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0892…48d8backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…8722backed Yes | 52c | 183.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 43c | 141$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35a…2157backed No | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 62c | 130$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 46c | 128.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…a12dbacked Yes | 11c | 125.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…8979backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f5…7cfdbacked Yes | 34c | 123.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked No | 56c | 115$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…2ee4backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…fe51backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 53c | 85.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 59c | 84.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Yes | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 61c | 71.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…9446backed Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 60.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…3d66backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…1201backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…723abacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…7bc9backed Yes | 46c | 40.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…5c1ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…2614backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…8b54backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490c…3093backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…2120backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cd…245dbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…ab30backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?this page
- Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?Yes won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win the NFC North?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.