TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Yes31c16,216$4,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,957.4731240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed No69c12,224$8,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,789.313217.4%23 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c7,456$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.085679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52f…e6b0backed Yes66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No34c3,467$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.283147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes30c2,274$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.1512934.9%45 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes38c2,115$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.8616226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed No34c1,730$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.88729.9%26 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf961…62bbbacked Yes26c1,362$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.111118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes27c1,165$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.618629.6%55 W · 131 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No68c1,128$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.6541540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Yes29c901.53$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4417348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No71c851.98$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.391,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes55c822.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.1820238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No69c764.88$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.668818.2%16 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed No63c698.38$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.912842.2%54 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee54…8189backed Yes19c647.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes37c549.5$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1724351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes48c542.96$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.128151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes60c504.99$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.310434.6%36 W · 68 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Yes15c494.79$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.392119%4 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-61.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes12c478.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.763237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76af…fd32backed No56c473.84$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f78…31a4backed Yes33c453.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.81850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa161…86fdbacked Yes32c313.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed No65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6918144.8%81 W · 100 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87248.3%2 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick11cpaid+51.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9315851.9%82 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes20c296.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2212031.7%38 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes50c274.61$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.263231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes6c265$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32611.6%1 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-95.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes27c258.9$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.621735.3%6 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick23cpaid-6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11059453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No63c245.79$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.119947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes42c238.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No40c235.75$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.098535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes29c230$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.668446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb4f…cbdebacked Yes41c229$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d3…a77bbacked No61c219.63$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.011573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No67c206.94$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.371369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+62.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x594c…3399backed No49c198$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid+49.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655e…c0c9backed Yes66c196.97$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadf…116cbacked Yes37c187$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No74c186.67$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9126830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb7d4…34c0backed Yes16c182.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.411540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b9…0c14backed Yes41c180$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13b…0e2bbacked Yes8c173.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.27450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+88.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d7…fa1cbacked Yes37c166$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xced9…aebbbacked Yes41c164$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bb…81bcbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885024%12 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes42c160$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.518428.6%24 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd604…6392backed Yes39c153$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f54…debbbacked Yes37c153$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e54…6631backed No48c147.49$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x550e…e07cbacked Yes45c143$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ff…b7b3backed Yes44c141.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0d…a41cbacked Yes37c140$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeed0…fa02backed Yes60c139$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53b4…3915backed Yes43c134$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4940…e50dbacked Yes54c128$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked No63c125.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.892147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04cd…7ac5backed Yes37c121$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes22c118.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.551010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-86.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes38c115$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9318427.7%51 W · 133 L-18.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes43c113.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3422434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406050%30 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32b…e33bbacked Yes41c105$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b7…7d6abacked No48c105$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No72c101$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.793447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367938%30 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf7…65d9backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42e2…4d16backed Yes45c97.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.665230.8%16 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+85.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccbf…ca09backed Yes49c94.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc441…8722backed Yes57c89.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513732.4%12 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No68c88.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2752828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353f…271ebacked Yes41c86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20f9…1118backed No59c85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ab…8658backed Yes39c78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b6…f279backed No64c77.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x468e…c1c5backed Yes37c77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2a…c6fdbacked Yes39c77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e89…4fd5backed Yes42c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe73f…740bbacked No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.634254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7b…eebfbacked No59c74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…ba20backed Yes37c74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2382…164abacked Yes39c73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed7…767ebacked Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf687…8c55backed Yes53c72.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes20c70.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.956134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1315…9a1fbacked No59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35a…2157backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f76…95e1backed Yes35c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb9a…65ebbacked Yes40c68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afc…2c0dbacked Yes42c68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes74c67.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022053.2%117 W · 103 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff7…8771backed Yes42c67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.