NFL · resolved market
Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5f07ce6d8ed5fad03dc888a3814687c6321b5a4ac4536b78c907dc789739cac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 31c | 16,216$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,957.47 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed No | 69c | 12,224$8,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.3 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,456$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…e6b0backed Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 34c | 3,467$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.2 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 30c | 2,274$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.15 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 38c | 2,115$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.86 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 34c | 1,730$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.8 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf961…62bbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,362$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,165$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 68c | 1,128$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.65 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Yes | 29c | 901.53$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.44 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 71c | 851.98$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.39 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 55c | 822.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.18 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 69c | 764.88$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.66 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed No | 63c | 698.38$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.9 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…8189backed Yes | 19c | 647.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 37c | 549.5$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.17 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 48c | 542.96$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.1 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 60c | 504.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.3 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Yes | 15c | 494.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 12c | 478.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…fd32backed No | 56c | 473.84$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…31a4backed Yes | 33c | 453.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa161…86fdbacked Yes | 32c | 313.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 20c | 296.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 50c | 274.61$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 6c | 265$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 27c | 258.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 245.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 42c | 238.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 40c | 235.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 29c | 230$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4f…cbdebacked Yes | 41c | 229$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 61c | 219.63$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 67c | 206.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…3399backed No | 49c | 198$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655e…c0c9backed Yes | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadf…116cbacked Yes | 37c | 187$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 74c | 186.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…34c0backed Yes | 16c | 182.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…0c14backed Yes | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…0e2bbacked Yes | 8c | 173.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…fa1cbacked Yes | 37c | 166$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…aebbbacked Yes | 41c | 164$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bb…81bcbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 42c | 160$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…6392backed Yes | 39c | 153$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f54…debbbacked Yes | 37c | 153$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…6631backed No | 48c | 147.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…e07cbacked Yes | 45c | 143$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…b7b3backed Yes | 44c | 141.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…a41cbacked Yes | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…fa02backed Yes | 60c | 139$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…3915backed Yes | 43c | 134$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…e50dbacked Yes | 54c | 128$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 63c | 125.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cd…7ac5backed Yes | 37c | 121$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 22c | 118.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 38c | 115$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 43c | 113.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32b…e33bbacked Yes | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b7…7d6abacked No | 48c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 72c | 101$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 45c | 97.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…ca09backed Yes | 49c | 94.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…8722backed Yes | 57c | 89.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 88.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…271ebacked Yes | 41c | 86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f9…1118backed No | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…8658backed Yes | 39c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 64c | 77.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…c1c5backed Yes | 37c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…c6fdbacked Yes | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…4fd5backed Yes | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…740bbacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…eebfbacked No | 59c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…ba20backed Yes | 37c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…164abacked Yes | 39c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…767ebacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf687…8c55backed Yes | 53c | 72.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 20c | 70.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…9a1fbacked No | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35a…2157backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…95e1backed Yes | 35c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9a…65ebbacked Yes | 40c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…2c0dbacked Yes | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 74c | 67.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…8771backed Yes | 42c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?this page
- Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win the NFC North?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.