TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe73f…740b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$46.71
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$33.89
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.25
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+135.3%+$50.11
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+114.4%+$40.03
Raiders vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.66
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+161.2%+$112.86
49ers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+27%+$13.49
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Cardinals vs. 49ersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$95
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$150
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$82.57
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$55
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+124.8%+$43.67
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$637.5
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$205.47
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$145.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Blue Jackets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+97.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$17.98
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+46.1%+$92.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Patrick Reed win the 2025 LIV Golf Dallas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$189.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+25.1%+$2.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.