College Football · resolved market
O/U 56.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd63ad7d79c1c302aa448579b4f522e8eb316df175c3e2da6793ff9d4acb8d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 52c | 27,027$14,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,083.42 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Under | 50c | 9,857$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Under | 47c | 6,871$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.43 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Over | 49c | 3,060$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Over | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Under | 51c | 1,480$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.2 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Over | 50c | 939.14$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.57 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Under | 49c | 832.84$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.08 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab0…6659backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 589.67$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.94 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 54c | 411.7$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.74 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f58…187cbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 46c | 304.64$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.15 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 54c | 219$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 205.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 53c | 199.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…740bbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…9950backed Under | 47c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…7ad2backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…a77dbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…2066backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 56.5this page
- Spread: Alabama (-10.5)Alabama won
- Spread: Alabama (-11.5)Alabama won
- Spread: Alabama (-12.5)Alabama won
- Vanderbilt vs. AlabamaAlabama won
- Vanderbilt vs. Alabama: O/U 55.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.