College Football · resolved market
Spread: Alabama (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c331ad39c58da2c82068695dacca9db1eb24f016bc668c3284faee9c8c5b801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabamaof Alabama, Vanderbilt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Vanderbilt | 52c | 9,839$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138.31 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Alabama | 52c | 6,841$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.91 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Vanderbilt | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Alabama | 53c | 4,613$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.64 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vanderbilt | 44c | 4,576$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.44 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Alabama | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Vanderbilt | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Alabama | 53c | 2,561$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.94 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Alabama | 3c | 2,066$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.96 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Alabama | 54c | 1,872$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.94 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Alabama | 50c | 1,790$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.13 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Vanderbilt | 45c | 1,620$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.1 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Alabama | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Vanderbilt | 45c | 1,418$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.11 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Vanderbilt | 45c | 1,103$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.44 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Vanderbilt | 50c | 966$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Alabama | 54c | 550$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Alabama | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Alabama | 52c | 499.82$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.91 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 469.25$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Vanderbilt | 49c | 302.04$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Alabama | 46c | 226.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…f02bbacked Alabama | 52c | 206$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Alabama | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…390dbacked Vanderbilt | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Vanderbilt | 45c | 185.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Alabama | 54c | 113.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Alabama | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Vanderbilt | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked Vanderbilt | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Alabama | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Vanderbilt | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Vanderbilt | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Alabama | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…4937backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…a079backed Vanderbilt | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Vanderbilt | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…a77dbacked Vanderbilt | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Alabama | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed Vanderbilt | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Alabama | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed Alabama | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…2066backed Vanderbilt | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama (-10.5)this page
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama (-11.5)Alabama won
- Spread: Alabama (-12.5)Alabama won
- Vanderbilt vs. AlabamaAlabama won
- Vanderbilt vs. Alabama: O/U 55.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.